# Singapore vs. China PR

> Closed. Last odds frozen 1 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/singapore-vs-china-pr
Updated: 2026-06-06T13:20:12.581Z
Category: geopolitics · Topic: china
Status: historical

## Headline

- Leader: China PR at 61%
- Runner-up: Draw (Singapore vs. China PR) at 24%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $6K

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China PR | 61¢ | +11pp | $2K | polymarket | /markets/singapore-vs-china-pr-china-pr-polymarket-0xe5527d67aa7519f64009780d373b21488a4c8a84c05c06a964ffc7e1b46b2619 |
| Draw (Singapore vs. China PR) | 24¢ | −7pp | $553 | polymarket | /markets/singapore-vs-china-pr-draw-singapore-vs-china-pr-polymarket-0x27dd9e8a922e1dc7985ae9393956fa40790da99e7a5b27d57f0499a6b346760c |
| Singapore | 18¢ | −3pp | $4K | polymarket | /markets/singapore-vs-china-pr-singapore-polymarket-0x48ac50de9605bba39b02557415816679774e823a9d4491ac992849c3be328df0 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | China PR | Draw (Singapore vs. China PR) | Singapore |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | 65 | 38 | 32 |
| 2026-06-02 | 69 | 26 | 23 |
| 2026-06-03 | 73 | 18 | 14 |
| 2026-06-04 | 63 | 23 | 16 |
| 2026-06-05 | 74 | 16 | 13 |

_5 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-06-02 · Draw (Singapore vs. China PR) −12pp 38→26¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-05 · China PR +11pp 63→74¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-04 · China PR −10pp 73→63¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-02 · Singapore −9pp 32→23¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-03 · Singapore −9pp 23→14¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/singapore-vs-china-pr
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=singapore-vs-china-pr
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/china

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.