# Will SOL trimmed mean be below $60.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Apr 30, 2026

> Below $80.00 leads at 17%, runner-up 5% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/solminmon-sol
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:39.950Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-01

## Headline

- Leader: Below $80.00 at 17%
- Runner-up: Below $75.00 at 5%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $398

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below $80.00 | 17¢ | −3pp | $1 | kalshi | /markets/will-sol-trimmed-mean-be-below-8000-by-1159-pm-et-kalshi-kxsolminmon-sol-26may31-8000 |
| Below $75.00 | 5¢ | −1pp | $397 | kalshi | /markets/will-sol-trimmed-mean-be-below-7500-by-1159-pm-et-kalshi-kxsolminmon-sol-26may31-7500 |
| Below $55.00 | 3¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-sol-trimmed-mean-be-below-5500-by-1159-pm-et-kalshi-kxsolminmon-sol-26may31-5500 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Below $80.00 | Below $75.00 | Below $55.00 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 64 | 51 | 12 |
| 2026-05-02 | 69 | 37 | 3 |
| 2026-05-06 | 43 | 18 | 3 |
| 2026-05-07 | 42 | 17 | 3 |
| 2026-05-08 | 39 | 16 | — |

_6 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · Below $80.00 −26pp 69→43¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Below $75.00 −18pp 36→18¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Below $75.00 −14pp 51→37¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Below $55.00 −9pp 12→3¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Below $80.00 +5pp 64→69¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/solminmon-sol
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=solminmon-sol

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.