# Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2035

> Before Jan 1, 2035 leads at 31%, runner-up 24% across 6 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 51 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/spacedatacenter-26
Updated: 2026-05-28T20:20:07.193Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2035-01-01

## Headline

- Leader: Before Jan 1, 2035 at 31%
- Runner-up: Before Jan 1, 2033 at 24%
- Outcomes: 6 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (6 contracts)
- 24h volume: $19K

## Bound contracts (6)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2035 | 31¢ | — | $4K | kalshi | /markets/will-it-be-reported-by-any-of-the-source-agencies-kalshi-kxspacedatacenter-26-35jan01 |
| Before Jan 1, 2033 | 24¢ | — | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-it-be-reported-by-any-of-the-source-agencies-kalshi-kxspacedatacenter-26-33jan01 |
| Before Jan 1, 2031 | 19¢ | — | $4K | kalshi | /markets/will-it-be-reported-by-any-of-the-source-agencies-kalshi-kxspacedatacenter-26-31jan01 |
| Before Jan 1, 2030 | 14¢ | — | $5K | kalshi | /markets/will-it-be-reported-by-any-of-the-source-agencies-kalshi-kxspacedatacenter-26-30jan01 |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 10¢ | — | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-it-be-reported-by-any-of-the-source-agencies-kalshi-kxspacedatacenter-26-29jan01 |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 6¢ | — | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-it-be-reported-by-any-of-the-source-agencies-kalshi-kxspacedatacenter-26-28jan01 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Before Jan 1, 2035 | Before Jan 1, 2033 | Before Jan 1, 2031 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | 26 | 21 | 14 |

_1 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/spacedatacenter-26
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=spacedatacenter-26

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.