# Sparta Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 37% across 12 contracts — refreshed 20 h ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/sparta-rotterdam-vs-go-ahead-eagles
Updated: 2026-05-03T18:36:01.997Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-03

## Headline

- Probability: 37% (liquidity-weighted across 12 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (12 contracts)
- 24h volume: $43K

## Bound contracts (12)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta | 17¢ | +2pp | $14K | kalshi | /markets/sparta-vs-ga-eagles-winner-sparta-kalshi-kxeredivisiegame-26may03spagae-spa |
| GA Eagles | 11¢ | +2pp | $12K | kalshi | /markets/sparta-vs-ga-eagles-winner-ga-eagles-kalshi-kxeredivisiegame-26may03spagae-gae |
| Tie | 57¢ | +1pp | $8K | kalshi | /markets/sparta-vs-ga-eagles-winner-tie-kalshi-kxeredivisiegame-26may03spagae-tie |
| Totals: Over 3.5 goals scored | 71¢ | +3pp | $5K | kalshi | /markets/ga-eagles-at-sparta-totals-over-35-goals-scored-kalshi-kxeredivisietotal-26may03spagae-3 |
| SPARTA | 11¢ | ±0 | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-sparta-win-the-sparta-vs-team-nemesis-cs2-mat-kalshi-kxcs2game-26may031300spartanem-sparta |
| Totals: Over 4.5 goals scored | 29¢ | +3pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/ga-eagles-at-sparta-totals-over-45-goals-scored-kalshi-kxeredivisietotal-26may03spagae-4 |
| Team Nemesis | 85¢ | +3pp | $790 | kalshi | /markets/will-team-nemesis-win-the-sparta-vs-team-nemesis-c-kalshi-kxcs2game-26may031300spartanem-nem |
| SPARTA | 6¢ | +18pp | $439 | kalshi | /markets/will-sparta-win-map-1-in-the-sparta-vs-team-nemesi-kalshi-kxcs2map-26may031300spartanem-1-sparta |
| Team Nemesis | 36¢ | +26pp | $197 | kalshi | /markets/will-team-nemesis-win-map-1-in-the-sparta-vs-team-kalshi-kxcs2map-26may031300spartanem-1-nem |
| Team Nemesis | 64¢ | +23pp | $15 | kalshi | /markets/will-team-nemesis-win-map-2-in-the-sparta-vs-team-kalshi-kxcs2map-26may031300spartanem-2-nem |
| SPARTA | 30¢ | +19pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-sparta-win-map-2-in-the-sparta-vs-team-nemesi-kalshi-kxcs2map-26may031300spartanem-2-sparta |
| Over 2.5 maps | 28¢ | +19pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-over-25-maps-be-played-in-the-sparta-vs-team-kalshi-kxcs2totalmaps-26may031300spartanem-3 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | 29 |
| 2026-05-01 | 28 |
| 2026-05-02 | 22 |
| 2026-05-03 | 32 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Team Nemesis +26pp 4→30¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Team Nemesis +23pp 4→27¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · SPARTA +19pp 4→23¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Over 2.5 maps +19pp 2→21¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · SPARTA +18pp 4→22¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

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- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=sparta-rotterdam-vs-go-ahead-eagles

## License

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