# Will the runner-up top Song on Apr 21, 2026 be Babydoll

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 70% across 1 contract — refreshed 6 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/spotify2d
Updated: 2026-05-03T19:20:52.649Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 70% (liquidity-weighted across 1 contract)
- Venue: Kalshi (1 contract)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (1)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| drop dead | 70¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-runner-up-top-song-on-may-3-2026-be-drop-kalshi-kxspotify2d-26may03-dro |

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/spotify2d
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=spotify2d

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.