# Top USA Song on Spotify on Apr 21, 2026

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 96% across 1 contract — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/spotifyd
Updated: 2026-05-03T19:20:59.136Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 96% (liquidity-weighted across 1 contract)
- Venue: Kalshi (1 contract)
- 24h volume: $11

## Bound contracts (1)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Choosin' Texas | 96¢ | — | $11 | kalshi | /markets/top-usa-song-on-spotify-on-may-3-2026-choosin-texa-kalshi-kxspotifyd-26may03-cho |

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/spotifyd
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=spotifyd

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.