# Will Spotify Technology S.A. report above 780 Million Monthly Active Users in Q1 2026

> Closed. Last odds frozen 4 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/spotifymau
Updated: 2026-06-14T11:20:53.385Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2027-07-01

## Headline

- Leader: Before Jul 1, 2027 at 86%
- Runner-up: Before Apr 1, 2027 at 84%
- Outcomes: 7 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (7 contracts)
- 24h volume: $417K

## Bound contracts (7)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 86¢ | +3pp | $18K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-7-day-moving-average-of-transit-calls-thr-kalshi-kxhormuznorm-26mar17-b270701 |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 84¢ | +2pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-7-day-moving-average-of-transit-calls-thr-kalshi-kxhormuznorm-26mar17-b270401 |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 75¢ | +3pp | $35K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-7-day-moving-average-of-transit-calls-thr-kalshi-kxhormuznorm-26mar17-b270101 |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 63¢ | +1pp | $15K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-7-day-moving-average-of-transit-calls-thr-kalshi-kxhormuznorm-26mar17-b261001 |
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | 57¢ | ±0 | $25K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-7-day-moving-average-of-transit-calls-thr-kalshi-kxhormuznorm-26mar17-b260901 |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | 48¢ | ±0 | $167K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-7-day-moving-average-of-transit-calls-thr-kalshi-kxhormuznorm-26mar17-b260801 |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | 17¢ | ±0 | $156K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-7-day-moving-average-of-transit-calls-thr-kalshi-kxhormuznorm-26mar17-b260701 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Before Jul 1, 2027 | Before Apr 1, 2027 | Before Jan 1, 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | 85 | 84 | 76 |
| 2026-06-05 | 79 | 77 | 63 |
| 2026-06-12 | 79 | 79 | 68 |
| 2026-06-13 | 82 | 81 | 74 |
| 2026-06-14 | — | — | 77 |

_26 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-06-12 · Before Aug 1, 2026 +13pp 27→40¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-12 · Before Sep 1, 2026 +13pp 35→48¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-12 · Before Oct 1, 2026 +10pp 44→54¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-13 · Before Sep 1, 2026 +9pp 48→57¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-13 · Before Oct 1, 2026 +9pp 54→63¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/spotifymau
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=spotifymau

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.