# Will Nick Wall win the Wall vs Elias

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 83% across 2 contracts — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/squashmatch
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:42.034Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-22

## Headline

- Probability: 83% (liquidity-weighted across 2 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (2 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Round of 32 match?: Amina Orfi | 85¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-amina-orfi-win-the-heikal-vs-orfi-round-of-32-kalshi-kxsquashmatch-26may11heiorf-orf |
| Round of 32 match?: Joel Makin | 80¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-joel-makin-win-the-rodriguez-vs-makin-round-o-kalshi-kxsquashmatch-26may10rodmak-mak |

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/squashmatch
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=squashmatch

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.