# Super Rugby Pacific

> Moana Pasifika vs Hurricanes: Hurricanes leads at 97%, runner-up 62% across 8 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/super-rugby-pacific
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:05:44.588Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-16

## Headline

- Leader: Moana Pasifika vs Hurricanes: Hurricanes at 97%
- Runner-up: Brumbies vs Western Force: Brumbies at 62%
- Outcomes: 8 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (8 contracts)
- 24h volume: $629

## Bound contracts (8)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moana Pasifika vs Hurricanes: Hurricanes | 97¢ | +3pp | $67 | polymarket | /markets/super-rugby-pacific-moana-pasifika-vs-hurricanes-h-polymarket-0xe906e74bf7df86efb219b3a3871b004b490efda1a7434532129c55664902fe6e |
| Brumbies vs Western Force: Brumbies | 62¢ | +10pp | $11 | polymarket | /markets/super-rugby-pacific-brumbies-vs-western-force-brum-polymarket-0x0e3f6e3470d6fe0adb4fc97d6736ce7e54c106b33ec2e92ac138c4190980c79c |
| Highlanders vs Waratahs: Highlanders | 61¢ | +9pp | $11 | polymarket | /markets/super-rugby-pacific-highlanders-vs-waratahs-highla-polymarket-0x79d32cc64c24f090c0cebf4599cf9f8515e8d26af06f0eb345d94d9b58fa80e6 |
| Highlanders vs Waratahs: Draw | 50¢ | +32pp | $56 | polymarket | /markets/super-rugby-pacific-highlanders-vs-waratahs-draw-polymarket-0xf056ddaa0e3cb35fdb31ed12d02f9d1285314d505a088e23180e19adaffceead |
| Highlanders vs Waratahs: Waratahs | 40¢ | +12pp | $6 | polymarket | /markets/super-rugby-pacific-highlanders-vs-waratahs-warata-polymarket-0xe186e0d8f0f3788187cd02b3918cc2d073d73fcddc665250357d8adb8f25f1f9 |
| Brumbies vs Western Force: Western Force | 23¢ | −8pp | $23 | polymarket | /markets/super-rugby-pacific-brumbies-vs-western-force-west-polymarket-0xbcf607d98b2dd69a8d3aac945e0c234d2b44b5d57babd2eca52ce5899c63f635 |
| Brumbies vs Western Force: Draw | 4¢ | +5pp | $34 | polymarket | /markets/super-rugby-pacific-brumbies-vs-western-force-draw-polymarket-0xb4b5ad77aed933ff9683492a88bd8b9fd739c135719ff5b2a8377533c38a23a9 |
| Moana Pasifika vs Hurricanes: Moana Pasifika | 3¢ | −5pp | $419 | polymarket | /markets/super-rugby-pacific-moana-pasifika-vs-hurricanes-m-polymarket-0x3c8283fdd531b24a4012a8bd6d6eb75b69652851f781425d53a1336982317fa7 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Moana Pasifika vs Hurricanes: Hurricanes | Brumbies vs Western Force: Brumbies | Highlanders vs Waratahs: Highlanders |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | — | — | 52 |
| 2026-05-06 | 75 | 63 | 63 |
| 2026-05-07 | 81 | 62 | 63 |
| 2026-05-08 | 95 | 53 | 63 |
| 2026-05-09 | 98 | 63 | 72 |

_5 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-09 · Highlanders vs Waratahs: Draw +32pp 18→50¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Moana Pasifika vs Hurricanes: Hurricanes +14pp 81→95¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Highlanders vs Waratahs: Draw −14pp 40→26¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-09 · Highlanders vs Waratahs: Waratahs +12pp 28→40¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Highlanders vs Waratahs: Highlanders +11pp 52→63¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/super-rugby-pacific
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=super-rugby-pacific

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.