# Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa Winner

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 34% across 20 contracts — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/superliggame
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:05:42.696Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-23

## Headline

- Probability: 34% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $3K
- Resolved: Tie

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konyaspor | 14¢ | +3pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/konyaspor-vs-fenerbahce-winner-konyaspor-kalshi-kxsuperliggame-26may09konfen-kon |
| Antalyaspor | 5¢ | +1pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/galatasaray-vs-antalyaspor-winner-antalyaspor-kalshi-kxsuperliggame-26may09galant-ant |
| Tie | 25¢ | +1pp | $363 | kalshi | /markets/besiktas-vs-trabzonspor-winner-tie-kalshi-kxsuperliggame-26may09bestra-tie |
| Galatasaray | 85¢ | +2pp | $230 | kalshi | /markets/galatasaray-vs-antalyaspor-winner-galatasaray-kalshi-kxsuperliggame-26may09galant-gal |
| Tie | 27¢ | +2pp | $108 | kalshi | /markets/kocaeli-vs-karagumruk-winner-tie-kalshi-kxsuperliggame-26may09kockar-tie |
| Besiktas | 47¢ | +3pp | $107 | kalshi | /markets/besiktas-vs-trabzonspor-winner-besiktas-kalshi-kxsuperliggame-26may09bestra-bes |
| Samsunspor | 20¢ | −1pp | $98 | kalshi | /markets/basaksehir-vs-samsunspor-winner-samsunspor-kalshi-kxsuperliggame-26may09bassam-sam |
| Eyupspor | 47¢ | +2pp | $41 | kalshi | /markets/eyupspor-vs-rizespor-winner-eyupspor-kalshi-kxsuperliggame-26may09eyuriz-eyu |
| Trabzonspor | 29¢ | +2pp | $35 | kalshi | /markets/besiktas-vs-trabzonspor-winner-trabzonspor-kalshi-kxsuperliggame-26may09bestra-tra |
| Alanyaspor | 40¢ | −1pp | $22 | kalshi | /markets/alanyaspor-vs-kayserispor-winner-alanyaspor-kalshi-kxsuperliggame-26may09alakay-ala |
| Fenerbahce | 65¢ | −2pp | $16 | kalshi | /markets/konyaspor-vs-fenerbahce-winner-fenerbahce-kalshi-kxsuperliggame-26may09konfen-fen |
| Goztepe Izmir | 64¢ | +1pp | $15 | kalshi | /markets/goztepe-izmir-vs-gaziantep-winner-goztepe-izmir-kalshi-kxsuperliggame-26may09gozgaz-goz |
| Kocaeli | 46¢ | −4pp | $10 | kalshi | /markets/kocaeli-vs-karagumruk-winner-kocaeli-kalshi-kxsuperliggame-26may09kockar-koc |
| Kayserispor | 30¢ | −4pp | $5 | kalshi | /markets/alanyaspor-vs-kayserispor-winner-kayserispor-kalshi-kxsuperliggame-26may09alakay-kay |
| Tie | 20¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/konyaspor-vs-fenerbahce-winner-tie-kalshi-kxsuperliggame-26may09konfen-tie |
| Karagumruk | 23¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/kocaeli-vs-karagumruk-winner-karagumruk-kalshi-kxsuperliggame-26may09kockar-kar |
| Gaziantep | 13¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/goztepe-izmir-vs-gaziantep-winner-gaziantep-kalshi-kxsuperliggame-26may09gozgaz-gaz |
| Tie | 20¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/goztepe-izmir-vs-gaziantep-winner-tie-kalshi-kxsuperliggame-26may09gozgaz-tie |
| Genclerbirligi | 38¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/genclerbirligi-vs-kasimpasa-winner-genclerbirligi-kalshi-kxsuperliggame-26may09genkas-gen |
| Kasimpasa | 27¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/genclerbirligi-vs-kasimpasa-winner-kasimpasa-kalshi-kxsuperliggame-26may09genkas-kas |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 32 |
| 2026-05-07 | 34 |
| 2026-05-08 | 32 |
| 2026-05-09 | 43 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · Eyupspor +5pp 39→44¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Fenerbahce +4pp 63→67¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Kocaeli −4pp 50→46¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Kayserispor −4pp 32→28¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Konyaspor +3pp 11→14¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/superliggame
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=superliggame

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.