# Swansea City AFC vs. Charlton Athletic FC

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 40% across 20 contracts — refreshed 13 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/swansea-city-afc-vs-charlton-athletic-fc
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:35:20.064Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 40% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 40% / Polymarket 40% — 0pp spread
- 24h volume: $1K

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City | 13¢ | — | $602 | kalshi | /markets/will-kansas-city-win-the-pro-football-afc-champion-kalshi-kxnflafcchamp-27-kc |
| Zero Tenacity | 16¢ | +3pp | $341 | kalshi | /markets/will-zero-tenacity-win-the-zero-tenacity-vs-nigma-kalshi-kxdota2game-26may031100z10ngx-z10 |
| Nigma Galaxy | 82¢ | ±0 | $158 | kalshi | /markets/will-nigma-galaxy-win-the-zero-tenacity-vs-nigma-g-kalshi-kxdota2game-26may031100z10ngx-ngx |
| Kansas City | 33¢ | +1pp | $101 | kalshi | /markets/will-kansas-city-win-the-pro-football-afc-west-div-kalshi-kxnflafcwest-27-kc |
| Zero Tenacity | 23¢ | +2pp | $2 | kalshi | /markets/will-zero-tenacity-win-map-2-in-the-zero-tenacity-kalshi-kxdota2map-26may031100z10ngx-2-z10 |
| Yokohama FC (-2.5) | 34¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-yokoha-polymarket-0x63f37e77be6ee67b7a2136a946b8e213b3e172b4af30e83a2706e476c714c527 |
| Tochigi City FC | 45¢ | −16pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-tochigi-city-fc-polymarket-0x2031740085ebc05d9a09dcbbd2271fa79045d7d10bc8224b9820b31d8f4acc92 |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/new-york-city-fc-vs-los-angeles-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x0e25b551a118495f7e2c433fd68e6e53fcf38d6641d1723c648e6161691a6674 |
| Nigma Galaxy | 70¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-nigma-galaxy-win-map-1-in-the-zero-tenacity-v-kalshi-kxdota2map-26may031100z10ngx-1-ngx |
| CD Palestino | 25¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montevideo-city-torque-vs-cd-palestino-cd-palestin-polymarket-0x3299d6bee2481093d7ef9a78adeadd03771f46740c1e9780b2881d52ab08ce11 |
| Mumbai City FC | 33¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mumbai-city-fc-vs-east-bengal-fc-mumbai-city-fc-polymarket-0xffedbd8c917d9b7a7b06028e7f1a6bc917997dc650dab42570216778620ba322 |
| O/U 1.5 | 74¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montevideo-city-torque-vs-cd-palestino-more-market-polymarket-0x69428f8f9b7876e5baf5c7cc84e58eb251c2516eb515ca53528776511b84bd63 |
| O/U 2.5 | 52¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montevideo-city-torque-vs-cd-palestino-more-market-polymarket-0xe10577977907834a701befdef96e28d86e0c347b30bd3fbc03c4e25f2def46f4 |
| O/U 4.5 | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montevideo-city-torque-vs-cd-palestino-more-market-polymarket-0x07f7a072fda241fb8832c6322063688d850552c1d460842d8fc0333d3147ead8 |
| Zero Tenacity | 34¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-zero-tenacity-win-the-rekonix-vs-zero-tenacit-kalshi-kxdota2game-26may040500rnxz10-z10 |
| O/U 3.5 | 36¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x22beacd714da8e36133ae7b4ce9a922882b6587e6747fb1648422ade6fe12bae |
| Tochigi City FC (-1.5) | 32¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-tochig-polymarket-0x00d353e73d92c211a37d3b0eb03737f155a2b0413c3532525a81dc65562d5196 |
| East Bengal FC (-1.5) | 15¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mumbai-city-fc-vs-east-bengal-fc-more-markets-east-polymarket-0x1ef468ee3081d30662507065ce715a91db79b15ca6d9b4751e4f518e347d3cd4 |
| Both Teams to Score | 49¢ | −8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-both-t-polymarket-0xd6838381c0c35db5a2b4887d2f6dd520ea2cd8829c4e505a637419cb3f4e5708 |
| REKONIX | 52¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-rekonix-win-map-2-in-the-rekonix-vs-zero-tena-kalshi-kxdota2map-26may040500rnxz10-2-rnx |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | 34 |
| 2026-04-22 | 34 |
| 2026-04-24 | 33 |
| 2026-05-03 | 38 |

_8 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Nigma Galaxy +34pp 37→71¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Tochigi City FC −16pp 50→34¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Zero Tenacity +10pp 12→22¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-01 · Nigma Galaxy +9pp 70→79¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Both Teams to Score −8pp 59→51¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/swansea-city-afc-vs-charlton-athletic-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=swansea-city-afc-vs-charlton-athletic-fc

## License

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