# Bangladesh vs New Zealand Winner

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 17% across 14 contracts — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/t20match
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:44.794Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-13

## Headline

- Probability: 17% (liquidity-weighted across 14 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (14 contracts)
- 24h volume: $156

## Bound contracts (14)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | 43¢ | — | $119 | kalshi | /markets/japan-vs-fiji-winner-japan-kalshi-kxt20match-26may09fijjap-jap |
| Central Sports Club | 39¢ | +3pp | $37 | kalshi | /markets/central-sports-club-vs-queens-park-cricket-club-i-kalshi-kxt20match-26may09quecen-cen |
| Samoa | 20¢ | — | $1 | kalshi | /markets/samoa-vs-philippines-winner-samoa-kalshi-kxt20match-26may09phisam-sam |
| Powergen Penal Sports Club | 5¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/powergen-penal-sports-club-vs-clarke-road-united-w-kalshi-kxt20match-26may10clapow-pow |
| Clarke Road United | 5¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/powergen-penal-sports-club-vs-clarke-road-united-w-kalshi-kxt20match-26may10clapow-cla |
| Romania | 21¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/romania-vs-bulgaria-winner-romania-kalshi-kxt20match-26may10bulrom-rom |
| Bulgaria | 5¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/romania-vs-bulgaria-winner-bulgaria-kalshi-kxt20match-26may10bulrom-bul |
| Papua New Guinea | 19¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/papua-new-guinea-vs-cook-islands-winner-papua-new-kalshi-kxt20match-26may10coopng-png |
| Cook Islands | 8¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/papua-new-guinea-vs-cook-islands-winner-cook-islan-kalshi-kxt20match-26may10coopng-coo |
| Philippines | 18¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/samoa-vs-philippines-winner-philippines-kalshi-kxt20match-26may09phisam-phi |
| Fiji | 6¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/japan-vs-fiji-winner-fiji-kalshi-kxt20match-26may09fijjap-fij |
| Queens Park Cricket Club I | 43¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/central-sports-club-vs-queens-park-cricket-club-i-kalshi-kxt20match-26may09quecen-que |
| Preysal Sports Club | 6¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/preysal-sports-club-vs-trinidad-and-tobago-winner-kalshi-kxt20match-26may09tripre-pre |
| Trinidad And Tobago | 6¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/preysal-sports-club-vs-trinidad-and-tobago-winner-kalshi-kxt20match-26may09tripre-tri |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | 9 |
| 2026-05-08 | 5 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · Central Sports Club +3pp 3→6¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Queens Park Cricket Club I +3pp 14→17¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/t20match
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=t20match

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.