# Porto vs Sporting CP Winner

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 47% across 1 contract — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/tacaportgame
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:39.951Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-12-14

## Headline

- Probability: 47% (liquidity-weighted across 1 contract)
- Venue: Polymarket (1 contract)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (1)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner: Sporting Cristal | 47¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/peru-liga-1-winner-sporting-cristal-polymarket-0x761e931e6b6358804193a112ceaea19c43400e2e1d319476888a5236151d75ac |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | 49 |
| 2026-05-02 | 47 |
| 2026-05-08 | 47 |

_9 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/tacaportgame
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=tacaportgame

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.