# Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC

> Tala'ea El Gaish SC leads at 40%, runner-up 40% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 8 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc
Updated: 2026-05-03T18:05:53.542Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-07

## Headline

- Leader: Tala'ea El Gaish SC at 40%
- Runner-up: Draw (Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC) at 40%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tala'ea El Gaish SC | 40¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc-talaea-e-polymarket-0xf309d5ef7bdc3c2cbc081c50a884e957c3d94aaa13b7d0f7d3f235b980b66b6b |
| Draw (Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC) | 40¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc-draw-tal-polymarket-0x0fc637c69071f59c1908180636611b8f1e0c772f345f5d862efa6cc8d17a0787 |
| Ghazl El Mahalla SC | 19¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc-ghazl-el-polymarket-0x052b58bbdb8ea96833997b2909baff6b82329eae90e9ea459b0259bf4ca7a59e |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Tala'ea El Gaish SC | Draw (Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC) | Ghazl El Mahalla SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 44 | 31 | 34 |
| 2026-05-03 | 43 | 31 | 34 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This probability reflects the likelihood that Tala'ea El Gaish SC will win against Ghazl El Mahalla SC. The 41% price suggests a competitive matchup with Ghazl El Mahalla slightly favored across available contracts. Pricing varies modestly across outcome types—a draw is quoted at 28 cents, while Ghazl El Mahalla's outright win is at 32 cents—indicating uncertainty about both the result and margin. The low trading volume across all three Polymarket contracts ($0 recorded in the past 24 hours) suggests limited recent market activity and potentially less liquidity for position adjustment. Key drivers would include current league standing, recent form, head-to-head history, and team-specific factors like injuries or roster changes. The match outcome itself will serve as the resolution event, provided the game is played as scheduled.

### Key factors

- Current pricing across three contracts shows Ghazl El Mahalla slightly favored (32-35 cents for win/spread outcomes) versus Tala'ea El Gaish (41 cents), reflecting marginal competitive advantage
- Zero 24-hour trading volume across all Polymarket contracts indicates minimal liquidity and suggests pricing may reflect limited recent information flow
- Draw probability is quoted at 28 cents, representing roughly one-quarter of total probability mass—a material outcome that would eliminate a third of participants
- The match's resolution depends on standard play conditions; postponement or cancellation would typically void contracts or trigger contingency rules
- Head-to-head history, league position, recent performance streak, and injury status of key players are standard inputs for pricing Egyptian Super League matchups

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc

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