# Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 27% across 20 contracts — refreshed 11 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-kahrabaa-ismailia-fc
Updated: 2026-05-03T20:35:51.469Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 27% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $53

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahrabaa Ismailia FC (-1.5) | 6¢ | −1pp | $53 | polymarket | /markets/wadi-degla-sc-vs-kahrabaa-ismailia-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0x5b91af9c6a150b6ae1147157e3fe35dedc072161eb7780f54bcc6db44d3f5f37 |
| Tala'ea El Gaish SC | 40¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc-talaea-e-polymarket-0xf309d5ef7bdc3c2cbc081c50a884e957c3d94aaa13b7d0f7d3f235b980b66b6b |
| Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-1.5) | 25¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0xcfd8ae93ecfdafad54e0f1ea37dc78d8f07fd74db45a6370d6396a37b8c856c9 |
| Ghazl El Mahalla SC (-1.5) | 18¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x38d77b59a8939f700428b00e675928555c3628f66fe7b86df5717a13cac987c4 |
| O/U 2.5 | 28¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x288ff0e2c8f28d2ce3086cdcf50104581d515384996453e7affbe355cdb23634 |
| O/U 3.5 | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x7b51f5b1ae95d3ae4b6193060967617edf485cb2b357f723eab19886c6839166 |
| O/U 4.5 | 13¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0xf2f172d3c51f51880b72b4870d410b871c7520e383ea2a035bcedb034dd1fbe5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 44¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x5e259bb37b4c32909df4d0c35554cdd4df86416c9592834bc94d270ad9099efe |
| Wadi Degla SC (-2.5) | 13¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wadi-degla-sc-vs-kahrabaa-ismailia-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0x76599877d2e0ba3577d404e527c28545fc4c46a9c94a0101bbbc85e640b9ed52 |
| Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5) | 19¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0xc7227427d717e9b2e1623fe742087682ff01b0cb992c0d39e7226d057067aff4 |
| O/U 1.5 | 56¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0xbba7de6218bf80a3f35ab8e20bc25a1ffc79547250260eb453886765e28bc1f0 |
| Ghazl El Mahalla SC | 20¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc-ghazl-el-polymarket-0x052b58bbdb8ea96833997b2909baff6b82329eae90e9ea459b0259bf4ca7a59e |
| Wadi Degla SC (-1.5) | 28¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wadi-degla-sc-vs-kahrabaa-ismailia-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0x7e492a97d67eb9826167f4239a42ff4fd6efa8f338f946e4e14839e2e3fdbf51 |
| Kahrabaa Ismailia FC | 17¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wadi-degla-sc-vs-kahrabaa-ismailia-fc-kahrabaa-ism-polymarket-0x3ba4f3bd13c0fb85caa2ea410593d9ff8b094bf2edeb05f47a1bb68ec169195a |
| Wadi Degla SC | 55¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wadi-degla-sc-vs-kahrabaa-ismailia-fc-wadi-degla-s-polymarket-0xa019396531e786ff6c4731682a3aac2bbc0cdc921098ef58ab6675abbccc9455 |
| Draw (Wadi Degla SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC) | 27¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wadi-degla-sc-vs-kahrabaa-ismailia-fc-draw-wadi-de-polymarket-0x69134578bbb44b9f4c1d011f94e6c2986e4e2eaf59fd9cf2c025e522216753ca |
| Ghazl El Mahalla SC (-2.5) | 19¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x058269a1aff18752c3ada2ccc0f4c7bda0e35bfca83f4c3305f3ae9363961b16 |
| Draw (Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC) | 41¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc-draw-tal-polymarket-0x0fc637c69071f59c1908180636611b8f1e0c772f345f5d862efa6cc8d17a0787 |
| O/U 2.5 | 45¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wadi-degla-sc-vs-kahrabaa-ismailia-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0x67744c9917915dec8f4f9a367e49f6a21780113e3ee78408e092342d8ce87e7b |
| O/U 4.5 | 11¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wadi-degla-sc-vs-kahrabaa-ismailia-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0x92a8e75deea06ac7f81fcd0f0fb5fb45c07375047b611b972859bfc01eff6fed |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | 35 |
| 2026-04-30 | 35 |
| 2026-05-01 | 27 |
| 2026-05-02 | 29 |
| 2026-05-03 | 33 |

_5 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · O/U 4.5 −8pp 19→11¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Kahrabaa Ismailia FC (-1.5) −3pp 15→12¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-kahrabaa-ismailia-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=talaea-el-gaish-sc-vs-kahrabaa-ismailia-fc

## License

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