# Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 65%, runner-up 54% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 5 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:50:52.655Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 65%
- Runner-up: O/U 2.5 at 54%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xac71aa6aeeb0de74d6631af7f06f26aa7c78677554fa3a09866effb753dcfa1b |
| O/U 2.5 | 54¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x4ff230980f419d689a8012e22a7b3178862c5c5a461d646a2cb9dc02e4f60214 |
| Both Teams to Score | 53¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-both-t-polymarket-0x37d876a9d5f7655defa7ea2238dc0240eaefa3782067817a5a9dea7340ba81d9 |
| O/U 3.5 | 36¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x1caf6962e8fbf49f66b536026e037761fcd47ab75afe9af74bbb531929699174 |
| FC Ryūkyū (-2.5) | 35¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-fc-ryk-polymarket-0x8122eecb61ff7994a30cd8642e7251cb932f7f149181dde3b3fc291ab69788bf |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-1.5) | 33¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-tegeva-polymarket-0xf4a4fac8c8d180a8abfa3fac6a9fc1feb8683e02796fcb29a72114d07544188d |
| FC Ryūkyū (-1.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-fc-ryk-polymarket-0xc6d7d588de26b5dbb7a78c7a34e12fc319326a755cea73b832c0511423c43edc |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-2.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-tegeva-polymarket-0xeba8015dbf05cbf409b2c78e871f712f738975cbbdc238bd4f878afdd4a7f645 |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x0bd2ca80c5b4eb69938a57960a50cf81c58ed72f75e16fa5571ca48fcdea5488 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | O/U 2.5 | Both Teams to Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 62 | 52 | 54 |
| 2026-05-03 | 61 | 54 | 54 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · FC Ryūkyū (-1.5) +5pp 33→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-2.5) +5pp 32→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Ryūkyū (-2.5) +4pp 34→38¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market is tracking the outcome of a Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū match, with the leading contract pricing a 54% probability for one specific result. The current probability reflects incomplete information about team form, head-to-head records, and injury status as of early May 2026. The main drivers of movement would be confirmed lineups, recent performance trends, and betting activity from informed observers closer to match day. Resolution will occur when the match concludes and the final result is recorded. Lower trading volume and light market participation relative to other featured matchups suggest limited consensus among traders on this particular outcome.

### Key factors

- Trading volume remains modest at $306-$50 across featured contracts, indicating sparse liquidity and potentially wider bid-ask spreads
- The 54% leader holds a 16-point edge over the 38% runner-up, signaling a meaningful but not overwhelming probability skew
- Polymarket data shows multiple contracts with 24-hour volumes below $100, reflecting thin interest and higher susceptibility to individual bets moving prices
- Match outcome depends on verifiable team factors: current league standings, recent head-to-head results, confirmed starting lineups, and injury reports
- Resolution is binary and deterministic once the match concludes, eliminating ambiguity unlike some prediction markets with settlement disputes

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets

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