# Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. Giravanz Kitakyūshū

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 39% across 20 contracts — refreshed 4 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-giravanz-kitakysh
Updated: 2026-05-03T15:35:21.673Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 39% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $6

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (Giravanz Kitakyūshū vs. Roasso Kumamoto) | 35¢ | +2pp | $3 | polymarket | /markets/giravanz-kitakysh-vs-roasso-kumamoto-draw-giravanz-polymarket-0xeb0a6cc422ff6d58db99321e3c9d089d05c2465f8d1fc25934db7618e43fe3e4 |
| Roasso Kumamoto | 37¢ | ±0 | $3 | polymarket | /markets/giravanz-kitakysh-vs-roasso-kumamoto-roasso-kumamo-polymarket-0xb333ae12051b405aedb9d3046a9e6a8a343105ee0226d38a42f872d8ac0e847a |
| FC Ryūkyū | 36¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-fc-ryky-polymarket-0xb521a175480555091a9cb13207e09cb5fa510b9c1cbc79593172818a975be4ca |
| O/U 2.5 | 50¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/giravanz-kitakysh-vs-roasso-kumamoto-more-markets-polymarket-0x59b299fc4021607125c252f41a631c6fe859873f9a60438610be69cc56a22b8a |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/giravanz-kitakysh-vs-roasso-kumamoto-more-markets-polymarket-0xb972b717ce93cb571f24032c012df313ea81fdfbbcd9f811f1391b9aae43e015 |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-2.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-tegeva-polymarket-0xeba8015dbf05cbf409b2c78e871f712f738975cbbdc238bd4f878afdd4a7f645 |
| O/U 2.5 | 54¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x4ff230980f419d689a8012e22a7b3178862c5c5a461d646a2cb9dc02e4f60214 |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x0bd2ca80c5b4eb69938a57960a50cf81c58ed72f75e16fa5571ca48fcdea5488 |
| Giravanz Kitakyūshū (-1.5) | 32¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/giravanz-kitakysh-vs-roasso-kumamoto-more-markets-polymarket-0x226e5a60c6827a47ba6097d73d8b6ed1c59114d76f6949972060d9216d2144b2 |
| Roasso Kumamoto (-2.5) | 33¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/giravanz-kitakysh-vs-roasso-kumamoto-more-markets-polymarket-0x13917b41d289056020830b44b9e5adfa7a55621c5544f6801a5b4beb03442bc5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/giravanz-kitakysh-vs-roasso-kumamoto-more-markets-polymarket-0x1b2ae8f24c71c828c0cf1ecff8f67b600d8512567e2033b98389a3982bf6f42c |
| FC Ryūkyū (-1.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-fc-ryk-polymarket-0xc6d7d588de26b5dbb7a78c7a34e12fc319326a755cea73b832c0511423c43edc |
| Giravanz Kitakyūshū (-2.5) | 26¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/giravanz-kitakysh-vs-roasso-kumamoto-more-markets-polymarket-0x2185500c2904f81e9b563d66af1ed9780c27224d2de0ed45aaba8269dc2c9d13 |
| O/U 3.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/giravanz-kitakysh-vs-roasso-kumamoto-more-markets-polymarket-0x9e0a7987caa0a0cba2c2609f78114e6e7c049596c5a987210b8c46b666dd5073 |
| FC Ryūkyū (-2.5) | 35¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-fc-ryk-polymarket-0x8122eecb61ff7994a30cd8642e7251cb932f7f149181dde3b3fc291ab69788bf |
| Draw (Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū) | 35¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-draw-tegevajaro-miy-polymarket-0x3740060edeffd09a418eb5616067ae79c89d4f023d4530f8bd43557d0c0a53c4 |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-1.5) | 33¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-tegeva-polymarket-0xf4a4fac8c8d180a8abfa3fac6a9fc1feb8683e02796fcb29a72114d07544188d |
| O/U 3.5 | 36¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x1caf6962e8fbf49f66b536026e037761fcd47ab75afe9af74bbb531929699174 |
| Giravanz Kitakyūshū | 47¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/giravanz-kitakysh-vs-roasso-kumamoto-giravanz-kita-polymarket-0x293b9d327a24d724186373053ec50f6e9bf4e2a4153360eb8d088aa5778b3984 |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/giravanz-kitakysh-vs-roasso-kumamoto-more-markets-polymarket-0x0a8c9d49db24553dbeccb4e8f5626d854f310d5d91eaf433d38804449c1d15b7 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 37 |
| 2026-05-02 | 40 |
| 2026-05-03 | 40 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-2.5) +5pp 32→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Ryūkyū (-1.5) +5pp 33→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Ryūkyū (-2.5) +4pp 34→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Ryūkyū +3pp 37→40¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Roasso Kumamoto (-2.5) +3pp 34→37¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-giravanz-kitakysh
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-giravanz-kitakysh

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.