# Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. Kagoshima United FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 37% across 20 contracts — refreshed 13 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-kagoshima-united-fc-more-markets-ou
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:20:27.142Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 37% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $40

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 3.5 | 24¢ | −1pp | $29 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x5d58f60bcef71fbea32cd17317002ed65fef80adb99080b2bf49aa94cf71ee3d |
| Incheon United FC (-2.5) | 4¢ | +1pp | $11 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x4ce71d662883de795b58a84a72031b1561a1c077297aabf78b6b2e3baf43a7ed |
| O/U 1.5 | 60¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kagoshima-united-fc-vs-ita-trinita-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xc0ca93277e47ebfeac4868ad303dfb8d5487eab193fc355d227ffd9279f526cd |
| Ōita Trinita (-2.5) | 35¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kagoshima-united-fc-vs-ita-trinita-more-markets-it-polymarket-0x181e3424ee0ee74f7515f00ded017f0f7b354f423316a80b2d2a69c69ab5d370 |
| Kagoshima United FC (-2.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kagoshima-united-fc-vs-ita-trinita-more-markets-ka-polymarket-0xf7b2d59df5ec45e91e68eff046f5394e0a02d136238fb7ff8cf8b358cd3742fa |
| O/U 3.5 | 36¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x1caf6962e8fbf49f66b536026e037761fcd47ab75afe9af74bbb531929699174 |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xac71aa6aeeb0de74d6631af7f06f26aa7c78677554fa3a09866effb753dcfa1b |
| Both Teams to Score | 54¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-both-t-polymarket-0x37d876a9d5f7655defa7ea2238dc0240eaefa3782067817a5a9dea7340ba81d9 |
| O/U 3.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kagoshima-united-fc-vs-ita-trinita-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xc65258b729eb812ed035c1f0a9f1f8908d226d1e1f9deb24b21d1857e9536bb8 |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kagoshima-united-fc-vs-ita-trinita-more-markets-bo-polymarket-0xe0cdd90db277e87907e88ff3672e492d88afe0c187c708157a5d9fb951da7a6d |
| FC Ryūkyū (-2.5) | 35¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-fc-ryk-polymarket-0x8122eecb61ff7994a30cd8642e7251cb932f7f149181dde3b3fc291ab69788bf |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-1.5) | 32¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-tegeva-polymarket-0xf4a4fac8c8d180a8abfa3fac6a9fc1feb8683e02796fcb29a72114d07544188d |
| O/U 2.5 | 52¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kagoshima-united-fc-vs-ita-trinita-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x439e354b22d6e164f4d31f50551836df502e9225f10f7da1eb62ecd6538682f7 |
| FC Ryūkyū (-1.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-fc-ryk-polymarket-0xc6d7d588de26b5dbb7a78c7a34e12fc319326a755cea73b832c0511423c43edc |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-2.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-tegeva-polymarket-0xeba8015dbf05cbf409b2c78e871f712f738975cbbdc238bd4f878afdd4a7f645 |
| O/U 2.5 | 54¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x4ff230980f419d689a8012e22a7b3178862c5c5a461d646a2cb9dc02e4f60214 |
| Ōita Trinita (-1.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kagoshima-united-fc-vs-ita-trinita-more-markets-it-polymarket-0x88fc7b7ae3b2ecf42ec2828e86c4701f3039aaadb163445ff377480f84be35d4 |
| O/U 4.5 | 28¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kagoshima-united-fc-vs-ita-trinita-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x58a7057d70e71e5d33a2d634f3f5da7546509c59bf8117285f1e3f6ee2f5db3a |
| O/U 4.5 | 28¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x0bd2ca80c5b4eb69938a57960a50cf81c58ed72f75e16fa5571ca48fcdea5488 |
| Kagoshima United FC (-1.5) | 15¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kagoshima-united-fc-vs-ita-trinita-more-markets-ka-polymarket-0x9d9d399d5805b6d04d783b7e23110f9c3a564d25f53a1d111bb05c7ca2ee1252 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 35 |
| 2026-05-02 | 39 |
| 2026-05-03 | 40 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Incheon United FC (-2.5) −17pp 35→18¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Kagoshima United FC (-2.5) +5pp 32→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Ryūkyū (-1.5) +5pp 33→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-2.5) +5pp 32→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Ōita Trinita (-1.5) +5pp 33→38¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-kagoshima-united-fc-more-markets-ou
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-kagoshima-united-fc-more-markets-ou

## License

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