# Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. Kagoshima United FC

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 42% across 20 contracts — refreshed 7 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-kagoshima-united-fc
Updated: 2026-05-03T15:05:56.810Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 42% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score | 54¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-both-t-polymarket-0x37d876a9d5f7655defa7ea2238dc0240eaefa3782067817a5a9dea7340ba81d9 |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 49¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-tegevajaro-miyazaki-polymarket-0xc2e6a4403ddfe0b9778e6586ce822520d2c7df44690c2fe7ac4ee233ff0e5682 |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kagoshima-united-fc-vs-ita-trinita-more-markets-bo-polymarket-0xe0cdd90db277e87907e88ff3672e492d88afe0c187c708157a5d9fb951da7a6d |
| O/U 3.5 | 36¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x1caf6962e8fbf49f66b536026e037761fcd47ab75afe9af74bbb531929699174 |
| Draw (Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū) | 35¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-draw-tegevajaro-miy-polymarket-0x3740060edeffd09a418eb5616067ae79c89d4f023d4530f8bd43557d0c0a53c4 |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xac71aa6aeeb0de74d6631af7f06f26aa7c78677554fa3a09866effb753dcfa1b |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kagoshima-united-fc-vs-ita-trinita-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x58a7057d70e71e5d33a2d634f3f5da7546509c59bf8117285f1e3f6ee2f5db3a |
| Kagoshima United FC (-1.5) | 30¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kagoshima-united-fc-vs-ita-trinita-more-markets-ka-polymarket-0x9d9d399d5805b6d04d783b7e23110f9c3a564d25f53a1d111bb05c7ca2ee1252 |
| Ōita Trinita (-1.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kagoshima-united-fc-vs-ita-trinita-more-markets-it-polymarket-0x88fc7b7ae3b2ecf42ec2828e86c4701f3039aaadb163445ff377480f84be35d4 |
| O/U 1.5 | 60¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kagoshima-united-fc-vs-ita-trinita-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xc0ca93277e47ebfeac4868ad303dfb8d5487eab193fc355d227ffd9279f526cd |
| O/U 2.5 | 52¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kagoshima-united-fc-vs-ita-trinita-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x439e354b22d6e164f4d31f50551836df502e9225f10f7da1eb62ecd6538682f7 |
| FC Ryūkyū (-2.5) | 34¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-fc-ryk-polymarket-0x8122eecb61ff7994a30cd8642e7251cb932f7f149181dde3b3fc291ab69788bf |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-1.5) | 33¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-tegeva-polymarket-0xf4a4fac8c8d180a8abfa3fac6a9fc1feb8683e02796fcb29a72114d07544188d |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-2.5) | 32¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-tegeva-polymarket-0xeba8015dbf05cbf409b2c78e871f712f738975cbbdc238bd4f878afdd4a7f645 |
| O/U 2.5 | 54¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x4ff230980f419d689a8012e22a7b3178862c5c5a461d646a2cb9dc02e4f60214 |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x0bd2ca80c5b4eb69938a57960a50cf81c58ed72f75e16fa5571ca48fcdea5488 |
| FC Ryūkyū | 36¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-fc-ryky-polymarket-0xb521a175480555091a9cb13207e09cb5fa510b9c1cbc79593172818a975be4ca |
| O/U 3.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kagoshima-united-fc-vs-ita-trinita-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xc65258b729eb812ed035c1f0a9f1f8908d226d1e1f9deb24b21d1857e9536bb8 |
| FC Ryūkyū (-1.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-fc-ryk-polymarket-0xc6d7d588de26b5dbb7a78c7a34e12fc319326a755cea73b832c0511423c43edc |
| Kagoshima United FC | 51¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kagoshima-united-fc-vs-ita-trinita-kagoshima-unite-polymarket-0x915eb3ae12983ea65de0a0af4e6c04fff81685b5496e8409fc6ea41b8742ea84 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 42 |
| 2026-05-02 | 43 |
| 2026-05-03 | 44 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Ōita Trinita (-1.5) +5pp 33→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-2.5) +5pp 32→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Ryūkyū (-1.5) +5pp 33→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Ryūkyū (-2.5) +4pp 34→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Ryūkyū +3pp 37→40¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-kagoshima-united-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-kagoshima-united-fc

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.