# Thespa Gunma vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets

> Closed. Last odds frozen 1 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/thespa-gunma-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-07T06:35:43.886Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Probability: 34% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $351

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | −21pp | $186 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x3f4aee4f0bd42c560dbc0bd1ce71f7af824e265312731cf81bb2cbc6191b054d |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | +8pp | $90 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0xd165f0be07f5e0f8d9c9531860a4288aa0971cf6dcfa9f6f3666f8f7277681c8 |
| O/U 3.5 | 26¢ | — | $30 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x370751f97151c1dba8a99a75e06a4b64f63102fc30f33f53f88590aa42a2ca9a |
| O/U 3.5 | 30¢ | +7pp | $17 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x22beacd714da8e36133ae7b4ce9a922882b6587e6747fb1648422ade6fe12bae |
| O/U 2.5 | 51¢ | −7pp | $14 | polymarket | /markets/montedio-yamagata-vs-thespa-gunma-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xc26872899f3bb280f768daa4b24340eefcd3e924616c27e97fe754db78535101 |
| O/U 2.5 | 48¢ | −13pp | $10 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x59499bef9849261e4b9a1ed19b402cdaad03979d63037448d867f53f325f4dcd |
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | ±0 | $4 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x55c4f82164c5327e31ce158ae1f097ead55f59a744f11cef1a7e37c9cad3292a |
| O/U 3.5 | 28¢ | −20pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montedio-yamagata-vs-thespa-gunma-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x68f5fbb3a2afbfa74b1d32d31d8d64b137044de765a06e409ffdb537d23fba0a |
| Thespa Gunma (-1.5) | 8¢ | −24pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montedio-yamagata-vs-thespa-gunma-more-markets-the-polymarket-0xa980d10a592f891e94f3c9e054856ca18d8b4366d3ef3083af9f2cf89e0029b1 |
| O/U 1.5 | 76¢ | +15pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montedio-yamagata-vs-thespa-gunma-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xda0ea1b669fd6281e67c2f7debf289881de763bfb3598afef4fb3494f629f5e3 |
| O/U 4.5 | 14¢ | −16pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montedio-yamagata-vs-thespa-gunma-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xf9c84381843b80450cbda142e07bc4b95e02a0a142b2a6e5c5bf3803d9f48a5a |
| Thespa Gunma (-2.5) | 15¢ | −29pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montedio-yamagata-vs-thespa-gunma-more-markets-the-polymarket-0xf0472b72ea8a9953d1d21b5fe997a73300e0f2f19e02ae3d86bc2222f77099af |
| Both Teams to Score | 52¢ | +7pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montedio-yamagata-vs-thespa-gunma-more-markets-bot-polymarket-0xd6d00ce85db87360ad28c70342a8f2b87d703ebe7a319dca09821a11ab48a2e5 |
| Montedio Yamagata (-1.5) | 28¢ | −19pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montedio-yamagata-vs-thespa-gunma-more-markets-mon-polymarket-0xc6b29b6ccedb7686c8fccf7d6a8d85ec1e79beae7acd56da8e816a761267917b |
| Montedio Yamagata (-2.5) | 12¢ | −25pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montedio-yamagata-vs-thespa-gunma-more-markets-mon-polymarket-0xa5b295be7e5127fbd46480c52cab4823e0862b64aa3a6b6e40f1858913e0370e |
| Tochigi City FC (-1.5) | 12¢ | −22pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-tochig-polymarket-0x00d353e73d92c211a37d3b0eb03737f155a2b0413c3532525a81dc65562d5196 |
| Both Teams to Score | 53¢ | +8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-both-t-polymarket-0xd6838381c0c35db5a2b4887d2f6dd520ea2cd8829c4e505a637419cb3f4e5708 |
| Yokohama FC (-1.5) | 22¢ | −13pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-yokoha-polymarket-0x2c1d8193e28b595f3903da1a31b9be397c53ac444485be771094d265d036eecf |
| FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5) | 12¢ | −22pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0xbe04137a61065209207d8e048618cc97dc1587c58ade0a2218ede2adaf8b65c7 |
| Yokohama FC (-2.5) | 8¢ | −29pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-yokoha-polymarket-0x63f37e77be6ee67b7a2136a946b8e213b3e172b4af30e83a2706e476c714c527 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 40 |
| 2026-05-03 | 44 |
| 2026-05-06 | 31 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · Thespa Gunma (-2.5) −29pp 37→8¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Yokohama FC (-2.5) −29pp 38→9¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Montedio Yamagata (-2.5) −25pp 36→11¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Thespa Gunma (-1.5) −24pp 37→13¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Tochigi City FC (-1.5) −22pp 35→13¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/thespa-gunma-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=thespa-gunma-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets

## License

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