# Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashima Antlers - More Markets

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 32% across 20 contracts — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/tky-verdy-vs-kashima-antlers-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T15:20:49.761Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 32% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $10

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5) | 9¢ | −2pp | $10 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-tky-ve-polymarket-0x2ae2ebd1fd8f36dee4140d1e5d50addade8319b01b9486d126f98e2e54d468c8 |
| Kawasaki Frontale (-2.5) | 14¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-kawasa-polymarket-0x3c1aa9a80edc6b086428b47577745380ec14a6a5fc83d1baf4197ee6a305576e |
| O/U 3.5 | 25¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x0810840cd496f74e46af48757e2488c91261f35690040c1d2248f26ca3d55e13 |
| O/U 1.5 | 72¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xc50831975e60b6665a0c4062af1d08ceeaf968a69b38978bf57dae0e90dcdfa0 |
| O/U 4.5 | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0xd385a34c7caf9fbdeb78e6a6a1fbf2a3bb9d25bb3581d7a15f5a72c5cb8717a7 |
| FC Mito Holly Hock (-1.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x016905fd905ab6ebd041201e664fb909026be7f8d9f37567497caa7e2333b20d |
| O/U 2.5 | 46¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x0020fda47604a2d66ffa8e2f9dfaa9a358f4a179d9375a06adca1a6efb5bfde4 |
| O/U 1.5 | 72¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x9a04eb7c5d4b3411c6443be32b0e6c6584cf135d0c4995fc06f4e35889dcc058 |
| O/U 4.5 | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x90099fd2923ed9ff2403ac27e3e1e34094d86bb0a7c3c6bef9df63463973118b |
| O/U 3.5 | 24¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x85c5f0f7fd8dae6799a49dc23c05f129ce5dfb750790fedcfa75721598507cdb |
| FC Mito Holly Hock (-2.5) | 11¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x317f8e4aa158d4dce5c31be35a3b0448d3b55f1f6059334d10dbcd431518e834 |
| Kashima Antlers (-2.5) | 14¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x6b096c2df5914dbbc26c254de76cb2bc7898d91c9fe76d92fc6bf32a7a673965 |
| Kawasaki Frontale (-1.5) | 23¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-kawasa-polymarket-0x8de3ff056585d51097fd2482a4abc6cc83fb7dbe11744f648315460fa6d355c6 |
| O/U 2.5 | 47¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x5a0c7816ae6badc971ddcefefba8eba7b44cb32f8f3d31a0a10a1f11af997648 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x2f00d8efde341336cc233f5c4175ddbcbe2d4044b1fc9bcc51e9a01bd4892029 |
| Both Teams to Score | 59¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-both-t-polymarket-0x635cbd45d09e8508967adabadf4b446a1cc0ab5162c74cdcf3b11c617cd04f96 |
| Kashima Antlers (-1.5) | 32¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0xe7a530fa7e188edc8caeb8d3e54f96180f11560978d2b034e251dc175cbe9059 |
| Tōkyō Verdy (-2.5) | 10¢ | −6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-tky-ve-polymarket-0xe158bdcc299fae5f1b1c38a92c8eabb46f489427326e54d21b59bd361a840a3d |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 48¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-kawasaki-frontale-polymarket-0x5d662aad6811ae102961c08d7234cd8225aa5c3973ee6807090520d1c474c279 |
| Both Teams to Score | 46¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-tky-vs-jef-united-ichihara-chiba-more-markets-b-polymarket-0x47d52bb27d62033542236cf8ed946ec29d0cdd9661b710c76d54838848879c5a |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 44 |
| 2026-05-02 | 38 |
| 2026-05-03 | 40 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Tōkyō Verdy (-2.5) −6pp 34→28¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Kawasaki Frontale (-2.5) −4pp 33→29¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Kashima Antlers (-2.5) +4pp 32→36¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Mito Holly Hock (-2.5) +3pp 34→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Both Teams to Score +3pp 53→56¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/tky-verdy-vs-kashima-antlers-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=tky-verdy-vs-kashima-antlers-more-markets

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.