# Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.20 and 4.22 on Apr 21, 2026

> Closed. Last odds frozen 22 h ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/tnoted
Updated: 2026-05-08T06:50:30.901Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-07

## Headline

- Leader: 4.28% to 4.3% at 21%
- Runner-up: 4.24% or below at 11%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $3

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.28% to 4.3% | 21¢ | — | $1 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-yield-of-10-year-us-treasury-notes-be-bet-kalshi-kxtnoted-26may07-b4.29 |
| 4.24% or below | 11¢ | — | $1 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-yield-of-10-year-us-treasury-notes-be-bel-kalshi-kxtnoted-26may07-t4.25 |
| 4.25% to 4.27% | 6¢ | — | $1 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-yield-of-10-year-us-treasury-notes-be-bet-kalshi-kxtnoted-26may07-b4.26 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | 53 |

_1 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/tnoted
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=tnoted

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.