# Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC

> Yokohama FC leads at 44%, runner-up 35% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 9 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:05:44.641Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Leader: Yokohama FC at 44%
- Runner-up: Draw (Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC) at 35%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $33

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama FC | 44¢ | +1pp | $28 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-yokohama-fc-polymarket-0x55b12d18b6d23acca350d701d3ef79f9dada8ea8b661dd33fc95301b333a3f34 |
| Draw (Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC) | 35¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-draw-tochigi-city-f-polymarket-0x9bdcef6177d296ce1897be117ec4e35ffaf308bedd44c03b24235d1598e8cc6a |
| Tochigi City FC | 34¢ | −16pp | $5 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-tochigi-city-fc-polymarket-0x2031740085ebc05d9a09dcbbd2271fa79045d7d10bc8224b9820b31d8f4acc92 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Yokohama FC | Draw (Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC) | Tochigi City FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 40 | 35 | 50 |
| 2026-05-03 | 41 | 36 | 34 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Tochigi City FC −16pp 50→34¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market reflects traders' assessment that Tochigi City FC has a 41% chance of winning their upcoming match against Yokohama FC. The probability sits well below even odds, suggesting market participants view Yokohama as the more likely winner. Relative team strength, recent form, and head-to-head history typically drive such pricing. The market shows modest activity across related contracts, with limited recent trading volume on the specific outcome, indicating this may be a lower-liquidity matchup. Resolution depends on the match result when these teams play, which would occur on their scheduled fixture date. Movements in this probability would likely follow published team lineups, injury reports, or significant betting flows indicating changing sentiment about either team's prospects.

### Key factors

- Yokohama FC's implied 59% win probability or draw probability suggests market perception of superior team quality or form relative to Tochigi City FC
- Related over/under market pricing at 65¢ indicates traders expect a relatively low-scoring match, which could favor defensive teams
- Trading volume across Tochigi-Yokohama contracts has been zero in the last 24 hours, suggesting limited recent information flow or market attention to this fixture
- The 6-percentage-point gap between the leading contract (41%) and runner-up (35%) reflects disagreement on Tochigi's chances, indicating moderate uncertainty
- Match outcome depends on actual squad availability, tactical setup, and performance on the scheduled fixture date

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc

## License

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