# Toronto FC vs. Philadelphia Union

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 42% across 1 contract — refreshed 13 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/toronto-fc-vs-philadelphia-union
Updated: 2026-05-03T18:35:58.431Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 42% (liquidity-weighted across 1 contract)
- Venue: Polymarket (1 contract)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (1)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union | 42¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-club-will-cristiano-ronaldo-play-for-next-ph-polymarket-0x5b8538799ef215887aa83bf418f4f29de1b41805cefcd4f3c4cf2642b7ed6555 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | 48 |
| 2026-04-30 | 47 |
| 2026-05-01 | 45 |
| 2026-05-02 | 41 |
| 2026-05-03 | 37 |

_5 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Philadelphia Union −4pp 45→41¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Philadelphia Union −4pp 41→37¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/toronto-fc-vs-philadelphia-union
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=toronto-fc-vs-philadelphia-union

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.