# Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes - More Markets

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 33% across 20 contracts — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/toronto-fc-vs-san-jose-earthquakes-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T15:35:11.007Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 33% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $67

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | ±0 | $25 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x958037183bbbe9c19389945a89a0123d13bd75f0cbc4bf48a9c88a4f8669d5e6 |
| O/U 2.5 | 47¢ | −2pp | $25 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xc2ca5022ecefa00d5fdb377dcf1eba34cb1973d86b75b22e40122dd29ca651b6 |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | — | $9 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x4612ca5173a5a4fcf85507aeb04a8592bc10dda7e82aa160ccf2a48ee08c3182 |
| O/U 4.5 | 12¢ | −1pp | $8 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x6bf7a43e176741b749890f4c3a5d781f0da3fb7ef5bc2476a1494d53c83df057 |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 40¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-club-will-cristiano-ronaldo-play-for-next-sa-polymarket-0x86490888b1b25fb7525334e180fa9a4ba24fa0e11571eb4437dd9a53af1b49f9 |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 5¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mls-cup-winner-2026-san-jose-earthquakes-polymarket-0x3b08ae92e63b8d3c505a66f5b64979469cdf907894510f11b4cf5b2c7ac3dd27 |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0xd108598c1ea2939d8259c617ee6673d2e2fed06854c85b27ae25acd6fedf62db |
| O/U 3.5 | 16¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-market-polymarket-0x8d5ad448158e42b7ff046b678b97ea6f512575fcc530502aed0167d1034dbe44 |
| Both Teams to Score | 54¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-bot-polymarket-0xf3ccec98aeb6344ece6adadce36427c489c59a413486e525a4b9023749b79b09 |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x5735da3e7d2a090ad05c030f77efb55ebc2288982ec45be75358f0e57d648821 |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0x881f458b76b6d561d43503c7cd0869a8463961c1787a43e52fbd1a62614fdeb3 |
| Kamatamare Sanuki (-1.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0x7056f531d96671721afb19c5a038b9d973f574c79db67cf4d81f5a6b9448f07f |
| CD Cuenca (-2.5) | 12¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-market-polymarket-0x0ba8c8a71abb0ec2119bcb26712fd510596ad0b5897db11c0828c96e0f9aaa51 |
| O/U 1.5 | 63¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-market-polymarket-0xa69c04b9a3b1f405a96f72e12e4f36331b05c9a4a44e59782a8eb6d224561624 |
| O/U 3.5 | 20¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x65835d9cb539cf33b6489619365554af29a588a1cee0ddd74e727d6981c3d417 |
| O/U 3.5 | 31¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x09142591c531b9321c5237ee59cfad2011a123a0a3bad39becc20ffa835755b9 |
| Vissel Kōbe (-2.5) | 11¢ | +15pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/sanfrecce-hiroshima-vs-vissel-kbe-more-markets-vis-polymarket-0x0dd98db188e5654f0d81714fb96f292841ddf74c965b60074c689f3ffaceb64e |
| Independiente Santa Fe (-1.5) | 10¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x559461c25f175b01a1cbf6e4b72940b22f539eaf75dd59ecaca75722a2fd3557 |
| O/U 4.5 | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0xbdae7dda47bdc8a73d6f94678f92dcf81f0105c1e960b850b519bee73c728701 |
| O/U 4.5 | 6¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-market-polymarket-0xc4dd638c0f758186525a1818baef4867425fbdbb21903fa3909871ea5fac8eeb |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | 3 |
| 2026-04-13 | 3 |
| 2026-04-26 | 10 |
| 2026-05-03 | 34 |

_9 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-04-28 · San Jose Earthquakes +42pp 8→50¢ · polymarket
- 2026-04-30 · San Jose Earthquakes −23pp 29→6¢ · polymarket
- 2026-04-28 · San Jose Earthquakes +21pp 8→29¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Vissel Kōbe (-2.5) +15pp 11→26¢ · polymarket
- 2026-04-26 · San Jose Earthquakes +9pp 3→12¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/toronto-fc-vs-san-jose-earthquakes-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=toronto-fc-vs-san-jose-earthquakes-more-markets

## License

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