# Will Trump publicly insult someone on...

> May 25 leads at 96%, runner-up 94% across 7 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 52 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/trump-publicly-insult-someone
Updated: 2026-05-24T23:20:09.639Z
Category: general · Topic: trump
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-31

## Headline

- Leader: May 25 at 96%
- Runner-up: May 27 at 94%
- Outcomes: 7 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (7 contracts)
- 24h volume: $9K

## Bound contracts (7)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25 | 96¢ | +2pp | $2K | polymarket | /markets/will-trump-publicly-insult-someone-on-may-25-polymarket-0x73172d27439422ab7d3575a6f04f53ff26eab39761a1dd1c78751e09f56fcdc7 |
| May 27 | 94¢ | +1pp | $6K | polymarket | /markets/will-trump-publicly-insult-someone-on-may-27-polymarket-0x74b6a639f8b15aa4c5b4cf1c1e353cea32293de30f327ea8b0f3f53209505276 |
| May 30 | 92¢ | +9pp | $563 | polymarket | /markets/will-trump-publicly-insult-someone-on-may-30-polymarket-0x9e3d66e0123602a25bf937da55caa0f7092899cdbd5ba08f777b0e8b97670b12 |
| May 26 | 92¢ | +1pp | $336 | polymarket | /markets/will-trump-publicly-insult-someone-on-may-26-polymarket-0x930cbe0d958f1c39ee130de7cb7f7543b37036573ac392e7269d146a7e9c6c1f |
| May 29 | 92¢ | +1pp | $179 | polymarket | /markets/will-trump-publicly-insult-someone-on-may-29-polymarket-0xc12f336bfc3dd24975e0a9b0917f772aa804987ded738e1a14cec374906bd395 |
| May 28 | 92¢ | +1pp | $76 | polymarket | /markets/will-trump-publicly-insult-someone-on-may-28-polymarket-0x7545551fcc53c7e8737f0de307d243eb440d5a0d436e0addb3b066cccf3fb09f |
| May 31 | 92¢ | −1pp | $17 | polymarket | /markets/will-trump-publicly-insult-someone-on-may-31-polymarket-0xfadb23907953ad51732a6c23e9e161b42650427e8cdce8b4218848ca6584d2ca |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | May 25 | May 27 | May 30 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | 91 | 90 | — |
| 2026-05-18 | — | 91 | — |
| 2026-05-19 | — | 92 | 90 |
| 2026-05-22 | 91 | 92 | 82 |
| 2026-05-24 | 92 | — | 92 |

_8 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-22 · May 30 −9pp 91→82¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-24 · May 30 +9pp 83→92¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/trump-publicly-insult-someone
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=trump-publicly-insult-someone
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/trump

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.