# Will there be at least 10 presidential actions in the week of Apr 19, 2026

> At least 5 leads at 32%, runner-up 10% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/trumpact
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:44.614Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-10

## Headline

- Leader: At least 5 at 32%
- Runner-up: At least 7 at 10%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $3K

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 5 | 32¢ | −6pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-there-be-at-least-5-presidential-actions-in-t-kalshi-kxtrumpact-26may03-t5 |
| At least 7 | 10¢ | −7pp | $482 | kalshi | /markets/will-there-be-at-least-7-presidential-actions-in-t-kalshi-kxtrumpact-26may03-t7 |
| At least 10 | 3¢ | — | $912 | kalshi | /markets/will-there-be-at-least-10-presidential-actions-in-kalshi-kxtrumpact-26may03-t10 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | At least 5 | At least 7 | At least 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 86 | 60 | — |
| 2026-05-07 | 86 | 57 | 27 |
| 2026-05-08 | 80 | 50 | — |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · At least 7 −7pp 57→50¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · At least 5 −6pp 86→80¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · At least 7 −3pp 60→57¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/trumpact
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=trumpact

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.