# Will Trump endorse at least 3 people on Truth Social this week

> At least 5 leads at 19%, runner-up 14% across 4 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/trumpendorsements
Updated: 2026-05-09T07:20:25.549Z
Category: general · Topic: trump
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-10

## Headline

- Leader: At least 5 at 19%
- Runner-up: At least 3 at 14%
- Outcomes: 4 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (4 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (4)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 5 | 19¢ | +6pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-trump-endorse-at-least-5-people-on-truth-soci-kalshi-kxtrumpendorsements-26may09-a5 |
| At least 3 | 14¢ | −5pp | $295 | kalshi | /markets/will-trump-endorse-at-least-3-people-on-truth-soci-kalshi-kxtrumpendorsements-26may09-a3 |
| At least 10 | 6¢ | −16pp | $31 | kalshi | /markets/will-trump-endorse-at-least-10-people-on-truth-soc-kalshi-kxtrumpendorsements-26may09-a10 |
| At least 15 | 4¢ | −2pp | $267 | kalshi | /markets/will-trump-endorse-at-least-15-people-on-truth-soc-kalshi-kxtrumpendorsements-26may09-a15 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | At least 5 | At least 3 | At least 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 41 | 50 | 33 |
| 2026-05-07 | 37 | 44 | 25 |
| 2026-05-08 | 27 | 39 | 9 |
| 2026-05-09 | 33 | — | — |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · At least 10 −16pp 25→9¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · At least 5 −10pp 37→27¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · At least 10 −8pp 33→25¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-09 · At least 5 +6pp 27→33¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · At least 3 −6pp 50→44¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/trumpendorsements
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=trumpendorsements
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/trump

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.