# Will Donald Trump make between 80 and 99 Truth Social posts the week of Apr 19, 2026

> 140-159 leads at 43%, runner-up 36% across 4 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/truthsocial
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:43.756Z
Category: general · Topic: trump
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-10

## Headline

- Leader: 140-159 at 43%
- Runner-up: 160-179 at 36%
- Outcomes: 4 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (4 contracts)
- 24h volume: $4K

## Bound contracts (4)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 140-159 | 43¢ | −4pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-donald-trump-make-between-140-and-159-truth-s-kalshi-kxtruthsocial-26may09-b149 |
| 160-179 | 36¢ | +4pp | $765 | kalshi | /markets/will-donald-trump-make-between-160-and-179-truth-s-kalshi-kxtruthsocial-26may09-b169 |
| 180-199 | 5¢ | +1pp | $903 | kalshi | /markets/will-donald-trump-make-between-180-and-199-truth-s-kalshi-kxtruthsocial-26may09-b189 |
| 200-220 | 4¢ | −1pp | $600 | kalshi | /markets/will-donald-trump-make-between-200-and-220-truth-s-kalshi-kxtruthsocial-26may09-b210 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | 140-159 | 160-179 | 180-199 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 24 | 23 | 17 |
| 2026-05-07 | 28 | 30 | 17 |
| 2026-05-08 | 24 | 34 | 18 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · 160-179 +7pp 23→30¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · 140-159 +4pp 24→28¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · 140-159 −4pp 28→24¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · 160-179 +4pp 30→34¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/truthsocial
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=truthsocial
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/trump

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.