# Will more than 2050000 people be screened by the TSA on average this week

> Closed. Last odds frozen 3 h ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/tsaw
Updated: 2026-05-04T06:20:20.581Z
Category: general
Status: historical

## Headline

- Leader: Above 2.35 million at 94%
- Runner-up: Above 2.45 million at 34%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $240

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 2.35 million | 94¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-more-than-2350000-people-be-screened-by-the-t-kalshi-kxtsaw-26may03-a2.35 |
| Above 2.45 million | 34¢ | −3pp | $208 | kalshi | /markets/will-more-than-2450000-people-be-screened-by-the-t-kalshi-kxtsaw-26may03-a2.45 |
| Above 2.5 million | 3¢ | +2pp | $32 | kalshi | /markets/will-more-than-2500000-people-be-screened-by-the-t-kalshi-kxtsaw-26may03-a2.50 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Above 2.35 million | Above 2.45 million | Above 2.5 million |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | 92 | 74 | 7 |
| 2026-04-28 | 94 | 61 | 3 |
| 2026-04-29 | 91 | 37 | 3 |
| 2026-04-30 | 89 | 24 | 1 |
| 2026-05-01 | 89 | 32 | 3 |
| 2026-05-03 | 94 | 40 | — |

_7 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-04-29 · Above 2.45 million −24pp 61→37¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-28 · Above 2.45 million −13pp 74→61¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-30 · Above 2.45 million −13pp 37→24¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Above 2.45 million +11pp 32→43¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-01 · Above 2.45 million +8pp 24→32¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/tsaw
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=tsaw

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.