# Turkey BSL

> Winner: Bahçeşehir Koleji leads at 50%, runner-up 50% across 8 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/turkey-bsl
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:41.452Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-12-01

## Headline

- Leader: Winner: Bahçeşehir Koleji at 50%
- Runner-up: Winner: Beşiktaş Gain at 50%
- Outcomes: 8 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (8 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (8)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner: Bahçeşehir Koleji | 50¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/turkey-bsl-winner-baheehir-koleji-polymarket-0xbab5a91e884d6ce4d613d8d69fe6c2b8702e85523ff22663b8c92d61444580d4 |
| Winner: Beşiktaş Gain | 50¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/turkey-bsl-winner-beikta-gain-polymarket-0x6dd21c7cfc6f148bd8713d917c76933225bc179c6da519fd76044e8b534983c7 |
| Winner: Türk Telekom | 50¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/turkey-bsl-winner-trk-telekom-polymarket-0xb7eedb02cda1c5bc746fe9d14c5a91ddeedf2d5887e12023ee2413312be33697 |
| Winner: Galatasaray MCT Technic | 50¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/turkey-bsl-winner-galatasaray-mct-technic-polymarket-0xe73f0fc9a54354cf24711e7cf1e1fe0a318eb137f0a599339246767ca625fa6f |
| Winner: Anadolu Efes | 50¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/turkey-bsl-winner-anadolu-efes-polymarket-0x697aba32720ee8cbe6c8b1c3ca9870ec96bacea700dc652ba5cd3644c83c0c93 |
| Winner: Trabzonspor | 50¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/turkey-bsl-winner-trabzonspor-polymarket-0xb7638b7800324c4cdde90d3ac87570bb9ed05a842cc2daf57e03749b434df661 |
| Winner: Esenler Erokspor | 50¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/turkey-bsl-winner-esenler-erokspor-polymarket-0xe1fdc3140bacbf4a2468ac0b37ecdef75e79f1724314114edf3bb9c55da9d3ad |
| Winner: Fenerbahçe Beko | 50¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/turkey-bsl-winner-fenerbahe-beko-polymarket-0x96e56f0ec95d3d6ccca42bd3b0d65e254ee881fb8d4c479213c191b0acefe07a |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Winner: Bahçeşehir Koleji | Winner: Beşiktaş Gain | Winner: Türk Telekom |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | 49 | — | 49 |
| 2026-04-26 | 49 | 48 | 49 |
| 2026-05-02 | 49 | 49 | 49 |
| 2026-05-08 | 49 | 48 | 48 |

_12 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This probability represents the market's assessment that Bahçeşehir Koleji will win the 2025-26 Turkish Basketball Super League (BSL) championship. The market shows five teams trading at identical 50-cent prices, indicating substantial uncertainty about the league's outcome. The current valuation likely reflects the competitive balance among Turkey's top basketball clubs, with Bahçeşehir Koleji, Anadolu Efes, Beşiktaş, Fenerbahçe, and Trabzonspor all considered viable contenders. The primary driver of probability movement would be regular-season performance and playoff results, which determine the champion. Key catalysts include injuries to star players, mid-season roster moves, and head-to-head matchups between top teams. The championship will be resolved when the BSL playoffs conclude, typically in late spring 2026. Zero trading volume across all contracts suggests limited market activity, which may indicate either low prediction-market interest in Turkish basketball or recent market inactivity.

### Key factors

- Five teams equally priced at 50 cents indicates symmetrical uncertainty rather than a clear favorite emerging
- Zero 24-hour trading volume across all contracts suggests minimal recent market activity and potential price staleness
- Turkish BSL regular season performance and playoff bracket positioning will directly determine which team advances to finals
- Roster composition and injury status of key players on contending teams significantly affects championship probability
- The championship resolution date depends on playoff scheduling, typically occurring in May-June 2026

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/turkey-bsl
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=turkey-bsl

## License

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