# Strasbourg Alsace vs Vallecano

> Closed. Last odds frozen 21 h ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/uecl1h
Updated: 2026-05-08T06:50:30.901Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-21

## Headline

- Probability: 30% (liquidity-weighted across 6 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (6 contracts)
- 24h volume: $506

## Bound contracts (6)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Half Winner?: Crystal Palace | 40¢ | −3pp | $212 | kalshi | /markets/crystal-palace-vs-shakhtar-first-half-winner-cryst-kalshi-kxuecl1h-26may07crysha-cry |
| First Half Winner?: Tie | 39¢ | +1pp | $78 | kalshi | /markets/strasbourg-alsace-vs-vallecano-first-half-winner-t-kalshi-kxuecl1h-26may07rcsrvc-tie |
| First Half Winner?: Strasbourg Alsace | 34¢ | ±0 | $76 | kalshi | /markets/strasbourg-alsace-vs-vallecano-first-half-winner-s-kalshi-kxuecl1h-26may07rcsrvc-rcs |
| First Half Winner?: Vallecano | 17¢ | ±0 | $54 | kalshi | /markets/strasbourg-alsace-vs-vallecano-first-half-winner-v-kalshi-kxuecl1h-26may07rcsrvc-rvc |
| First Half Winner?: Tie | 37¢ | +2pp | $51 | kalshi | /markets/crystal-palace-vs-shakhtar-first-half-winner-tie-kalshi-kxuecl1h-26may07crysha-tie |
| First Half Winner?: Shakhtar | 14¢ | +1pp | $35 | kalshi | /markets/crystal-palace-vs-shakhtar-first-half-winner-shakh-kalshi-kxuecl1h-26may07crysha-sha |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 31 |
| 2026-05-07 | 31 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · First Half Winner?: Crystal Palace −3pp 43→40¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/uecl1h
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=uecl1h

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.