# Shakhtar vs Crystal Palace Winner

> Closed. Last odds frozen 21 h ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ueclgame
Updated: 2026-05-08T06:50:30.901Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-21

## Headline

- Probability: 33% (liquidity-weighted across 6 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (6 contracts)
- 24h volume: $52K

## Bound contracts (6)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 60¢ | — | $27K | kalshi | /markets/crystal-palace-vs-shakhtar-winner-crystal-palace-kalshi-kxueclgame-26may07crysha-cry |
| Vallecano | 24¢ | +1pp | $11K | kalshi | /markets/strasbourg-alsace-vs-vallecano-winner-vallecano-kalshi-kxueclgame-26may07rcsrvc-rvc |
| Shakhtar | 17¢ | — | $8K | kalshi | /markets/crystal-palace-vs-shakhtar-winner-shakhtar-kalshi-kxueclgame-26may07crysha-sha |
| Strasbourg Alsace | 49¢ | — | $4K | kalshi | /markets/strasbourg-alsace-vs-vallecano-winner-strasbourg-a-kalshi-kxueclgame-26may07rcsrvc-rcs |
| Tie | 25¢ | — | $2K | kalshi | /markets/strasbourg-alsace-vs-vallecano-winner-tie-kalshi-kxueclgame-26may07rcsrvc-tie |
| Tie | 22¢ | — | $968 | kalshi | /markets/crystal-palace-vs-shakhtar-winner-tie-kalshi-kxueclgame-26may07crysha-tie |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 37 |
| 2026-05-07 | 31 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ueclgame
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ueclgame

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.