# Strasbourg Alsace wins by over 2.5 goals

> Closed. Last odds frozen 21 h ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ueclspread
Updated: 2026-05-08T06:50:30.901Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-21

## Headline

- Probability: 16% (liquidity-weighted across 6 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (6 contracts)
- 24h volume: $689

## Bound contracts (6)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vallecano wins by over 1.5 goals | 8¢ | +3pp | $412 | kalshi | /markets/vallecano-wins-by-over-15-goals-vallecano-wins-by-kalshi-kxueclspread-26may07rcsrvc-rvc1 |
| Strasbourg Alsace wins by over 1.5 goals | 25¢ | ±0 | $117 | kalshi | /markets/strasbourg-alsace-wins-by-over-15-goals-strasbourg-kalshi-kxueclspread-26may07rcsrvc-rcs1 |
| Crystal Palace wins by over 2.5 goals | 15¢ | −1pp | $56 | kalshi | /markets/crystal-palace-wins-by-over-25-goals-crystal-palac-kalshi-kxueclspread-26may07crysha-cry2 |
| Crystal Palace wins by over 1.5 goals | 33¢ | −3pp | $52 | kalshi | /markets/crystal-palace-wins-by-over-15-goals-crystal-palac-kalshi-kxueclspread-26may07crysha-cry1 |
| Shakhtar wins by over 1.5 goals | 4¢ | +1pp | $32 | kalshi | /markets/shakhtar-wins-by-over-15-goals-shakhtar-wins-by-ov-kalshi-kxueclspread-26may07crysha-sha1 |
| Strasbourg Alsace wins by over 2.5 goals | 10¢ | +1pp | $21 | kalshi | /markets/strasbourg-alsace-wins-by-over-25-goals-strasbourg-kalshi-kxueclspread-26may07rcsrvc-rcs2 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 15 |
| 2026-05-07 | 15 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · Vallecano wins by over 1.5 goals +3pp 4→7¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Crystal Palace wins by over 1.5 goals −3pp 36→33¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ueclspread
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ueclspread

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.