# Vallecano at Strasbourg Alsace

> Closed. Last odds frozen 21 h ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/uecltotal
Updated: 2026-05-08T06:50:30.901Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-21

## Headline

- Probability: 43% (liquidity-weighted across 8 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (8 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (8)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Totals: Over 1.5 goals scored | 76¢ | −2pp | $623 | kalshi | /markets/shakhtar-at-crystal-palace-totals-over-15-goals-sc-kalshi-kxuecltotal-26may07crysha-1 |
| Totals: Over 4.5 goals scored | 13¢ | −2pp | $551 | kalshi | /markets/shakhtar-at-crystal-palace-totals-over-45-goals-sc-kalshi-kxuecltotal-26may07crysha-4 |
| Totals: Over 2.5 goals scored | 51¢ | −2pp | $290 | kalshi | /markets/shakhtar-at-crystal-palace-totals-over-25-goals-sc-kalshi-kxuecltotal-26may07crysha-2 |
| Totals: Over 3.5 goals scored | 29¢ | −2pp | $141 | kalshi | /markets/shakhtar-at-crystal-palace-totals-over-35-goals-sc-kalshi-kxuecltotal-26may07crysha-3 |
| Totals: Over 2.5 goals scored | 52¢ | — | $89 | kalshi | /markets/vallecano-at-strasbourg-alsace-totals-over-25-goal-kalshi-kxuecltotal-26may07rcsrvc-2 |
| Totals: Over 3.5 goals scored | 29¢ | −3pp | $20 | kalshi | /markets/vallecano-at-strasbourg-alsace-totals-over-35-goal-kalshi-kxuecltotal-26may07rcsrvc-3 |
| Totals: Over 1.5 goals scored | 77¢ | −8pp | $5 | kalshi | /markets/vallecano-at-strasbourg-alsace-totals-over-15-goal-kalshi-kxuecltotal-26may07rcsrvc-1 |
| Totals: Over 4.5 goals scored | 14¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/vallecano-at-strasbourg-alsace-totals-over-45-goal-kalshi-kxuecltotal-26may07rcsrvc-4 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 42 |
| 2026-05-07 | 40 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · Totals: Over 1.5 goals scored −8pp 75→67¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Totals: Over 3.5 goals scored −3pp 28→25¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/uecltotal
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=uecltotal

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.