# Will the fight go the distance

> Fight goes the distance leads at 63%, runner-up 60% across 20 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ufcdistance
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:41.250Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-30

## Headline

- Leader: Fight goes the distance at 63%
- Runner-up: Fight goes the distance at 60%
- Outcomes: 20 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $11K

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fight goes the distance | 63¢ | — | $15 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-fight-go-the-distance-fight-goes-the-dist-kalshi-kxufcdistance-26may09volcor-dist |
| Fight goes the distance | 60¢ | — | $621 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-fight-go-the-distance-fight-goes-the-dist-kalshi-kxufcdistance-26may09milgor-dist |
| Fight goes the distance | 52¢ | — | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-fight-go-the-distance-fight-goes-the-dist-kalshi-kxufcdistance-26may09greste-dist |
| Fight goes the distance | 51¢ | — | $5 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-fight-go-the-distance-fight-goes-the-dist-kalshi-kxufcdistance-26may09dawreb-dist |
| Fight goes the distance | 49¢ | — | $61 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-fight-go-the-distance-fight-goes-the-dist-kalshi-kxufcdistance-26may09alvamo-dist |
| Fight goes the distance | 46¢ | — | $868 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-fight-go-the-distance-fight-goes-the-dist-kalshi-kxufcdistance-26may09brabuc-dist |
| Fight goes the distance | 44¢ | +8pp | $90 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-fight-go-the-distance-fight-goes-the-dist-kalshi-kxufcdistance-26may16diaper-dist |
| Fight goes the distance | 38¢ | — | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-fight-go-the-distance-fight-goes-the-dist-kalshi-kxufcdistance-26may09vantai-dist |
| Fight goes the distance | 35¢ | — | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-fight-go-the-distance-fight-goes-the-dist-kalshi-kxufcdistance-26may09sussan-dist |
| Fight goes the distance | 31¢ | — | $4K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-fight-go-the-distance-fight-goes-the-dist-kalshi-kxufcdistance-26may09chistr-dist |
| Fight goes the distance | 21¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-fight-go-the-distance-fight-goes-the-dist-kalshi-kxufcdistance-26may16mgomor-dist |
| Fight goes the distance | 21¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-fight-go-the-distance-fight-goes-the-dist-kalshi-kxufcdistance-26may16avijen-dist |
| Fight goes the distance | 20¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-fight-go-the-distance-fight-goes-the-dist-kalshi-kxufcdistance-26may16jaccre-dist |
| Fight goes the distance | 19¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-fight-go-the-distance-fight-goes-the-dist-kalshi-kxufcdistance-26may16dosdes-dist |
| Fight goes the distance | 18¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-fight-go-the-distance-fight-goes-the-dist-kalshi-kxufcdistance-26may16fazbab-dist |
| Fight goes the distance | 18¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-fight-go-the-distance-fight-goes-the-dist-kalshi-kxufcdistance-26may16salcro-dist |
| Fight goes the distance | 18¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-fight-go-the-distance-fight-goes-the-dist-kalshi-kxufcdistance-26may16permas-dist |
| Fight goes the distance | 18¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-fight-go-the-distance-fight-goes-the-dist-kalshi-kxufcdistance-26may16mokmor-dist |
| Fight goes the distance | 15¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-fight-go-the-distance-fight-goes-the-dist-kalshi-kxufcdistance-26may16ngalin-dist |
| Fight goes the distance | 13¢ | ±0 | $336 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-fight-go-the-distance-fight-goes-the-dist-kalshi-kxufcdistance-26may16roucar-dist |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Fight goes the distance | Fight goes the distance | Fight goes the distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | 34 | 44 | 51 |
| 2026-05-06 | 36 | 21 | 21 |
| 2026-05-07 | 44 | 21 | 21 |
| 2026-05-08 | — | 21 | 21 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · Fight goes the distance −30pp 51→21¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Fight goes the distance −29pp 49→20¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Fight goes the distance −23pp 44→21¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Fight goes the distance −23pp 41→18¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Fight goes the distance −21pp 40→19¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ufcdistance
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ufcdistance

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.