# Will either competitor win the Norma Dumont Viana vs. Joselyne Edwards UFC fight by KO/TKO/DQ?

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 29% across 13 contracts — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ufcmof
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:42.858Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-30

## Headline

- Probability: 29% (liquidity-weighted across 13 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (13 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (13)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decision | 32¢ | — | $527 | kalshi | /markets/will-either-competitor-win-the-baisangur-susurkae-kalshi-kxufcmof-26may09sussan-dec |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 30¢ | — | $316 | kalshi | /markets/will-either-competitor-win-the-khamzat-chimaev-vs-kalshi-kxufcmof-26may09chistr-kotkodq |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 4¢ | −21pp | $298 | kalshi | /markets/will-either-competitor-win-the-ronda-rousey-vs-gi-kalshi-kxufcmof-26may16roucar-kotkodq |
| Decision | 34¢ | — | $185 | kalshi | /markets/will-either-competitor-win-the-khamzat-chimaev-vs-kalshi-kxufcmof-26may09chistr-dec |
| Submission | 51¢ | — | $183 | kalshi | /markets/will-either-competitor-win-the-khamzat-chimaev-vs-kalshi-kxufcmof-26may09chistr-sub |
| Submission | 18¢ | — | $96 | kalshi | /markets/will-either-competitor-win-the-nate-diaz-vs-mike-kalshi-kxufcmof-26may16diaper-sub |
| Decision | 5¢ | +2pp | $60 | kalshi | /markets/will-either-competitor-win-the-ronda-rousey-vs-gi-kalshi-kxufcmof-26may16roucar-dec |
| Submission | 67¢ | — | $35 | kalshi | /markets/will-either-competitor-win-the-ronda-rousey-vs-gi-kalshi-kxufcmof-26may16roucar-sub |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 35¢ | — | $35 | kalshi | /markets/will-either-competitor-win-the-nate-diaz-vs-mike-kalshi-kxufcmof-26may16diaper-kotkodq |
| Decision | 40¢ | — | $31 | kalshi | /markets/will-either-competitor-win-the-sean-brady-vs-joaq-kalshi-kxufcmof-26may09brabuc-dec |
| Draw | 3¢ | — | $2 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-khamzat-chimaev-vs-sean-strickland-ufc-f-kalshi-kxufcmof-26may09chistr-draw |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 51¢ | — | $1 | kalshi | /markets/will-either-competitor-win-the-francis-ngannou-vs-kalshi-kxufcmof-26may16ngalin-kotkodq |
| Draw | 13¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-nate-diaz-vs-mike-perry-ufc-fight-end-in-kalshi-kxufcmof-26may16diaper-draw |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 1 |
| 2026-05-03 | 13 |
| 2026-05-06 | 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | 85 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · KO/TKO/DQ −21pp 24→3¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ufcmof
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ufcmof

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.