# United Rugby Championship

> Bulls vs Zebre: Bulls leads at 95%, runner-up 86% across 16 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/united-rugby-championship
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:41.335Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-16

## Headline

- Leader: Bulls vs Zebre: Bulls at 95%
- Runner-up: Leinster vs Lions: Leinster at 86%
- Outcomes: 16 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (16 contracts)
- 24h volume: $283

## Bound contracts (16)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls vs Zebre: Bulls | 95¢ | +3pp | $9 | polymarket | /markets/united-rugby-championship-bulls-vs-zebre-bulls-polymarket-0x7bb1e9e129f92f8e163b249e52abc893ac29c963c867a880a4f8d877f02f54e1 |
| Leinster vs Lions: Leinster | 86¢ | +6pp | $10 | polymarket | /markets/united-rugby-championship-leinster-vs-lions-leinst-polymarket-0xd8fa83f0fdbaf97e107765fa612dcbdc6a7c239f581acfc8dd04fe8499547e84 |
| Sharks vs Benetton Treviso: Sharks | 82¢ | ±0 | $15 | polymarket | /markets/united-rugby-championship-sharks-vs-benetton-trevi-polymarket-0xa79192931f5ea1c20e38e2b42bbbe6dcf6289da6b649f5e006f55733b0115a1a |
| Connacht vs Munster: Connacht | 68¢ | +8pp | $5 | polymarket | /markets/united-rugby-championship-connacht-vs-munster-conn-polymarket-0x431897e5bce14423ed04be20d2c64759613950d4d688e8a6aed53a624d5aaa25 |
| Ospreys vs Scarlets: Ospreys | 57¢ | −8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/united-rugby-championship-ospreys-vs-scarlets-ospr-polymarket-0x633bac7638e51c66dfad508beb96fb1c9f1e3eedb1458072fe4e6a4b5b6e8cd3 |
| Dragons vs Edinburgh: Edinburgh | 51¢ | −8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/united-rugby-championship-dragons-vs-edinburgh-edi-polymarket-0xd66be9273066856284c45661dace6c4b871fe768c954eba6f9a3d4a63104e836 |
| Dragons vs Edinburgh: Dragons | 48¢ | +6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/united-rugby-championship-dragons-vs-edinburgh-dra-polymarket-0xe2c71fc4a5966a17371a30c16ee9e1940f63dfa6df13a3d07e782e2a34597ba1 |
| Connacht vs Munster: Munster | 38¢ | +1pp | $11 | polymarket | /markets/united-rugby-championship-connacht-vs-munster-muns-polymarket-0x56cf1a26a59d3851b1718b4ef95026fb1380fa45e32469b4b1c3796ccbeaa1f7 |
| Ospreys vs Scarlets: Scarlets | 28¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/united-rugby-championship-ospreys-vs-scarlets-scar-polymarket-0xaa42c589b41295532273c69216fc0e12da1704e5dd59a537732e9e69ac6d6d9e |
| Sharks vs Benetton Treviso: Benetton Treviso | 21¢ | +1pp | $5 | polymarket | /markets/united-rugby-championship-sharks-vs-benetton-trevi-polymarket-0xe2a8d87e9e0feaf4ab4186ae61767cf1167c8a53867ae0ecd87bc03776e0570d |
| Leinster vs Lions: Lions | 19¢ | +3pp | $5 | polymarket | /markets/united-rugby-championship-leinster-vs-lions-lions-polymarket-0x520d6225eddf85aaffd00c781968f26c37fbe160c18c36f6ec30f606609dc005 |
| Bulls vs Zebre: Zebre | 6¢ | ±0 | $11 | polymarket | /markets/united-rugby-championship-bulls-vs-zebre-zebre-polymarket-0xb73ec94f583ba17e59267bdc84a8dc00a70aa1d68f0604ddac8e94c1436baa41 |
| Ospreys vs Scarlets: Draw | 5¢ | −13pp | $5 | polymarket | /markets/united-rugby-championship-ospreys-vs-scarlets-draw-polymarket-0xae0886f094c90696ea2ab1e6d1307c67884aae4a6478a623e61005d814a298bb |
| Sharks vs Benetton Treviso: Draw | 4¢ | −1pp | $10 | polymarket | /markets/united-rugby-championship-sharks-vs-benetton-trevi-polymarket-0x851ba8f00f91adfb20a4b8e8c9d3587eb0bcf2125f74c1737cfc75e645809ebf |
| Connacht vs Munster: Draw | 4¢ | +1pp | $5 | polymarket | /markets/united-rugby-championship-connacht-vs-munster-draw-polymarket-0x5701d7bc00400e7ffac122b18fd1e2047bdbabd646103668602d1e6b97dd6fa2 |
| Dragons vs Edinburgh: Draw | 3¢ | −7pp | $193 | polymarket | /markets/united-rugby-championship-dragons-vs-edinburgh-dra-polymarket-0x6a925b9168a09d5916a13d4f264012d1d99c28bd4b8346a921ef339bcaffe413 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Bulls vs Zebre: Bulls | Leinster vs Lions: Leinster | Sharks vs Benetton Treviso: Sharks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 92 | 62 | 72 |
| 2026-05-07 | 93 | 62 | 74 |
| 2026-05-08 | 96 | 68 | 74 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · Ospreys vs Scarlets: Draw −13pp 27→14¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Connacht vs Munster: Connacht +8pp 50→58¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Sharks vs Benetton Treviso: Benetton Treviso +8pp 29→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Ospreys vs Scarlets: Ospreys −8pp 63→55¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Dragons vs Edinburgh: Edinburgh −8pp 58→50¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/united-rugby-championship
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=united-rugby-championship

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.