# Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle

> O/U 1.5 leads at 74%, runner-up 54% across 12 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/universidad-central-de-venezuela-fc-vs-independiente-del
Updated: 2026-05-03T15:35:02.880Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 74%
- Runner-up: Independiente del Valle at 54%
- Outcomes: 12 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (12 contracts)
- 24h volume: $3

## Bound contracts (12)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 74¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/universidad-central-de-venezuela-fc-vs-independien-polymarket-0xdf2dc3f8122ab04d040f9606c7dbca356c6d7fc3b6b52c99ce4076aea0dbaa24 |
| Independiente del Valle | 54¢ | +20pp | $3 | polymarket | /markets/universidad-central-de-venezuela-fc-vs-independien-polymarket-0xa49e959f5ebded2b3fe7ec7635faba2926f34300d5d4fe7e9d064fd6cd15820b |
| Both Teams to Score | 52¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/universidad-central-de-venezuela-fc-vs-independien-polymarket-0x194275bf9d1a7c94e4887c587acd8bf599128c991f1b9ee8f6aae320d828ae7e |
| O/U 2.5 | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/universidad-central-de-venezuela-fc-vs-independien-polymarket-0xfba09a56cd0c6ede10ac6fead655399fc9ff9142e54fd689c0dfe6d413ce4d70 |
| Independiente del Valle (-1.5) | 28¢ | −6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/universidad-central-de-venezuela-fc-vs-independien-polymarket-0x40280822bab5d74dbe1462957a0c24b61042d647c467ba67417a1568acc4f801 |
| O/U 3.5 | 27¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/universidad-central-de-venezuela-fc-vs-independien-polymarket-0x45d8d6ccc30c2c2a1745c3a7584a8164390841ba7680b1c8b743fb66507d0e2b |
| Draw (Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle) | 25¢ | +6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/universidad-central-de-venezuela-fc-vs-independien-polymarket-0x8725fd5511830239def7e05e1bb73d097f7fe96f0a49f155ea49e8697338826f |
| Independiente del Valle (-2.5) | 22¢ | −5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/universidad-central-de-venezuela-fc-vs-independien-polymarket-0xb49118ef35d97950e9e630892e6bf5ac9b4eb3b5d5b339ca143017373fc70138 |
| Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 20¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/universidad-central-de-venezuela-fc-vs-independien-polymarket-0xf1233b8b6ec5ad368d423eba5569b09e0a2d13fba3f8e8d73b9869c71e5921a3 |
| Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-1.5) | 20¢ | −5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/universidad-central-de-venezuela-fc-vs-independien-polymarket-0x64bd66d76e9efb3052ba5635384343d19de1f74f86bf6f5f8d7ba6a1bcdcb78d |
| Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-2.5) | 16¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/universidad-central-de-venezuela-fc-vs-independien-polymarket-0x171d1b1ded7d88677fd38f0e06757e5655aeaddb5dd664c7217dc8ec87c38dec |
| O/U 4.5 | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/universidad-central-de-venezuela-fc-vs-independien-polymarket-0x379684abeac1f75e84192a96d0f4b9ab5f5fa1231c2577c7062e90c6c5b8337b |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Independiente del Valle | Both Teams to Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | — | 39 | — |
| 2026-05-02 | — | 36 | 52 |
| 2026-05-03 | 75 | 56 | 52 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Independiente del Valle +20pp 36→56¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Draw (Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle) +6pp 19→25¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Independiente del Valle (-1.5) −6pp 34→28¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-1.5) −5pp 29→24¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Independiente del Valle (-2.5) −5pp 35→30¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market reflects the likelihood that Universidad Central de Venezuela FC defeats Independiente del Valle in their upcoming match, currently priced at 55% among prediction market participants. The assessment depends heavily on recent team form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage dynamics in the Venezuelan context. Key factors include each team's current league standing, injury or suspension status, and historical performance in similar competitive situations. The match outcome will be definitively resolved once the game concludes, with goals scored and final scoreline determining the winner. Market sentiment can shift based on team news announcements, lineup confirmations, or betting activity in the 24-48 hours before kickoff.

### Key factors

- Current league standings and points totals for both Universidad Central de Venezuela and Independiente del Valle in their respective competitions
- Head-to-head historical record between the two clubs, including goal differential and venue-specific performance patterns
- Reported injuries, suspensions, or roster changes for key players on either side prior to match day
- Whether the match is played at Universidad Central's home stadium versus neutral or away venue, affecting crowd dynamics
- Recent form: each team's results in their last 3-5 matches, including goals conceded and defensive solidity metrics

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/universidad-central-de-venezuela-fc-vs-independiente-del
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=universidad-central-de-venezuela-fc-vs-independiente-del

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