# Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Kawasaki Frontale

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 33% across 20 contracts — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/urawa-red-diamonds-vs-kawasaki-frontale
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:51:04.420Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 33% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $21

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5) | 8¢ | −2pp | $10 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-tky-ve-polymarket-0x2ae2ebd1fd8f36dee4140d1e5d50addade8319b01b9486d126f98e2e54d468c8 |
| O/U 3.5 | 29¢ | — | $7 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x85c5f0f7fd8dae6799a49dc23c05f129ce5dfb750790fedcfa75721598507cdb |
| Tōkyō Verdy | 27¢ | −4pp | $4 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-tky-verdy-polymarket-0x3d1c1d96948fe74dd5074638764492911ae0a05448b827f9f17d12d6a4cbae22 |
| Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5) | 23¢ | −8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashiwa-reysol-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-more-markets-polymarket-0x13fca10ff23581e6dd606f11f66f4c391c6466503af462fce73756afe0c09be2 |
| O/U 2.5 | 48¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashiwa-reysol-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-more-markets-polymarket-0x137a07a40c862c48fa20e4bf0903615799188d89173bc6a02ef8f36908f75c60 |
| O/U 3.5 | 26¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashiwa-reysol-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-more-markets-polymarket-0x1ae4fa2b0e1cebe32000a741ec07dc113ec3cbc71d668d9f2ebf47f090557485 |
| Draw (Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds) | 26¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashiwa-reysol-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-draw-kashiwa-polymarket-0xbb1d85c0653835874de6ae3e0cd7911ea44b6062031b0280882f1f94a820f498 |
| Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5) | 12¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashiwa-reysol-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-more-markets-polymarket-0xf874fea23e2749a660cf3f2d2f1b359d0e892dad6460eba65a6fb5b54c532d7f |
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashiwa-reysol-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-more-markets-polymarket-0xde55263f4843ff39efeba08884e6e92b2af80fddf4ce93586dc5b12736b29dbc |
| Kashiwa Reysol (-2.5) | 12¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashiwa-reysol-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-more-markets-polymarket-0xadcf744a9640a6e377fe9053eb64b43a37dba200eb2040bcd1e199d9e34df821 |
| Urawa Red Diamonds (-2.5) | 11¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashiwa-reysol-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-more-markets-polymarket-0xc60a6d5f37835d039139ee7a805003c7133a8aeb3a9aeb4c1c0175e32981d8a2 |
| Kashiwa Reysol | 47¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashiwa-reysol-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-kashiwa-reyso-polymarket-0x3481b3be832eae49ff416e4730a50ec37ee10928a54e55e58a4f73d080267cd2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 54¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashiwa-reysol-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-more-markets-polymarket-0x1083aaebb1ee5fc7669e00ffbd7f30b223c37ffbf72564e37c39f9b5fd9404fd |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | 27¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashiwa-reysol-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-urawa-red-dia-polymarket-0xa86687cc94ddd23f585f0c182515c5f8d36ad40a4991b55a149f4b68c4e7d447 |
| O/U 4.5 | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashiwa-reysol-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-more-markets-polymarket-0x8c771d9b5ed14085fc1ecfaa14fc44e10b34e74333cd7ee161efeb124e340d08 |
| O/U 4.5 | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x90099fd2923ed9ff2403ac27e3e1e34094d86bb0a7c3c6bef9df63463973118b |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 47¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-kawasaki-frontale-polymarket-0x5d662aad6811ae102961c08d7234cd8225aa5c3973ee6807090520d1c474c279 |
| Both Teams to Score | 60¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-both-t-polymarket-0x635cbd45d09e8508967adabadf4b446a1cc0ab5162c74cdcf3b11c617cd04f96 |
| Kawasaki Frontale (-1.5) | 23¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-kawasa-polymarket-0x8de3ff056585d51097fd2482a4abc6cc83fb7dbe11744f648315460fa6d355c6 |
| O/U 1.5 | 72¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xc50831975e60b6665a0c4062af1d08ceeaf968a69b38978bf57dae0e90dcdfa0 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 37 |
| 2026-05-02 | 37 |
| 2026-05-03 | 37 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5) −8pp 37→29¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Tōkyō Verdy −4pp 33→29¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Kashiwa Reysol (-2.5) −4pp 32→28¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Urawa Red Diamonds (-2.5) −4pp 28→24¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5) −3pp 28→25¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/urawa-red-diamonds-vs-kawasaki-frontale
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=urawa-red-diamonds-vs-kawasaki-frontale

## License

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