# Montevideo City vs Boston River Winner

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 29% across 12 contracts — refreshed 9 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/urypdgame
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:35:53.523Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 29% (liquidity-weighted across 12 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (12 contracts)
- 24h volume: $6K

## Bound contracts (12)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Espanol | 8¢ | +1pp | $3K | kalshi | /markets/boston-river-vs-central-espanol-winner-central-esp-kalshi-kxurypdgame-26may03briesp-esp |
| Boston River | 51¢ | +1pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/boston-river-vs-central-espanol-winner-boston-rive-kalshi-kxurypdgame-26may03briesp-bri |
| Tie | 8¢ | +1pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/boston-river-vs-central-espanol-winner-tie-kalshi-kxurypdgame-26may03briesp-tie |
| Tie | 29¢ | +2pp | $80 | kalshi | /markets/racing-club-vs-montevideo-city-winner-tie-kalshi-kxurypdgame-26may03rcmtor-tie |
| Tie | 29¢ | ±0 | $79 | kalshi | /markets/albion-vs-nacional-winner-tie-kalshi-kxurypdgame-26may03albnac-tie |
| Racing Club | 45¢ | ±0 | $72 | kalshi | /markets/racing-club-vs-montevideo-city-winner-racing-club-kalshi-kxurypdgame-26may03rcmtor-rcm |
| Penarol | 52¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/penarol-vs-defensor-winner-penarol-kalshi-kxurypdgame-26may04pendef-pen |
| Defensor | 13¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/penarol-vs-defensor-winner-defensor-kalshi-kxurypdgame-26may04pendef-def |
| Tie | 23¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/penarol-vs-defensor-winner-tie-kalshi-kxurypdgame-26may04pendef-tie |
| Albion | 28¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/albion-vs-nacional-winner-albion-kalshi-kxurypdgame-26may03albnac-alb |
| Nacional | 40¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/albion-vs-nacional-winner-nacional-kalshi-kxurypdgame-26may03albnac-nac |
| Montevideo City | 23¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/racing-club-vs-montevideo-city-winner-montevideo-c-kalshi-kxurypdgame-26may03rcmtor-tor |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | 30 |
| 2026-05-01 | 30 |
| 2026-05-02 | 29 |
| 2026-05-03 | 31 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/urypdgame
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=urypdgame

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.