# Rhode Island FC vs Charleston Winner

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 31% across 20 contracts — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/uslgame
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:42.830Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-24

## Headline

- Probability: 31% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $287

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | 10¢ | ±0 | $103 | kalshi | /markets/louisville-city-vs-pittsburgh-winner-pittsburgh-kalshi-kxuslgame-26may09lfcpit-pit |
| Indy Eleven | 56¢ | +1pp | $36 | kalshi | /markets/indy-eleven-vs-sporting-jax-winner-indy-eleven-kalshi-kxuslgame-26may09ielspo-iel |
| Detroit City FC | 29¢ | −1pp | $27 | kalshi | /markets/hartford-athletic-vs-detroit-city-fc-winner-detroi-kalshi-kxuslgame-26may09hardet-det |
| Tie | 23¢ | ±0 | $26 | kalshi | /markets/hartford-athletic-vs-detroit-city-fc-winner-tie-kalshi-kxuslgame-26may09hardet-tie |
| New Mexico United | 53¢ | +4pp | $24 | kalshi | /markets/new-mexico-united-vs-las-vegas-lights-winner-new-m-kalshi-kxuslgame-26may09newlas-new |
| Hartford Athletic | 40¢ | ±0 | $21 | kalshi | /markets/hartford-athletic-vs-detroit-city-fc-winner-hartfo-kalshi-kxuslgame-26may09hardet-har |
| San Antonio | 26¢ | — | $15 | kalshi | /markets/phoenix-rising-vs-san-antonio-winner-san-antonio-kalshi-kxuslgame-26may09phosan-san |
| Tie | 28¢ | — | $14 | kalshi | /markets/phoenix-rising-vs-san-antonio-winner-tie-kalshi-kxuslgame-26may09phosan-tie |
| Tampa Bay | 33¢ | +2pp | $12 | kalshi | /markets/rhode-island-fc-vs-tampa-bay-winner-tampa-bay-kalshi-kxuslgame-26may09rhotam-tam |
| Louisville City | 66¢ | +5pp | $7 | kalshi | /markets/louisville-city-vs-pittsburgh-winner-louisville-ci-kalshi-kxuslgame-26may09lfcpit-lfc |
| Sporting Jax | 15¢ | ±0 | $1 | kalshi | /markets/indy-eleven-vs-sporting-jax-winner-sporting-jax-kalshi-kxuslgame-26may09ielspo-spo |
| Phoenix Rising | 38¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/phoenix-rising-vs-san-antonio-winner-phoenix-risin-kalshi-kxuslgame-26may09phosan-pho |
| Oakland Roots SC | 38¢ | +7pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/oakland-roots-sc-vs-el-paso-locomotive-fc-winner-o-kalshi-kxuslgame-26may09oakpas-oak |
| El Paso Locomotive FC | 32¢ | +6pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/oakland-roots-sc-vs-el-paso-locomotive-fc-winner-e-kalshi-kxuslgame-26may09oakpas-pas |
| Tie | 22¢ | +4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/oakland-roots-sc-vs-el-paso-locomotive-fc-winner-t-kalshi-kxuslgame-26may09oakpas-tie |
| Las Vegas Lights | 19¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/new-mexico-united-vs-las-vegas-lights-winner-las-v-kalshi-kxuslgame-26may09newlas-las |
| Tie | 21¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/new-mexico-united-vs-las-vegas-lights-winner-tie-kalshi-kxuslgame-26may09newlas-tie |
| Rhode Island FC | 37¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/rhode-island-fc-vs-tampa-bay-winner-rhode-island-f-kalshi-kxuslgame-26may09rhotam-rho |
| Tie | 23¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/rhode-island-fc-vs-tampa-bay-winner-tie-kalshi-kxuslgame-26may09rhotam-tie |
| Tie | 18¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/louisville-city-vs-pittsburgh-winner-tie-kalshi-kxuslgame-26may09lfcpit-tie |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 29 |
| 2026-05-07 | 29 |
| 2026-05-08 | 27 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · Oakland Roots SC +7pp 30→37¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · El Paso Locomotive FC +6pp 25→31¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Louisville City +5pp 57→62¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · New Mexico United +4pp 45→49¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Tie +4pp 18→22¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/uslgame
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=uslgame

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.