# Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash

> Utah Royals FC leads at 42%, runner-up 30% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:51:02.350Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-07

## Headline

- Leader: Utah Royals FC at 42%
- Runner-up: Houston Dash at 30%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Royals FC | 42¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash-utah-royals-fc-polymarket-0x36ed0b75c0523bbdd1f2c7cb97ea1b81aed9df6a7489e17c7aa4b2e23c855624 |
| Houston Dash | 30¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash-houston-dash-polymarket-0x2b093a1179b742f0708b088013f44ad8f4b4b29c0afb0e0f4fb51c03f938f9df |
| Draw (Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash) | 29¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash-draw-utah-royals-fc-polymarket-0x04af29252ab95dd80a4c1bbb4dbfb7b5f8e1d27f7cd1125254b29eca23a9de3e |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Utah Royals FC | Houston Dash | Draw (Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 44 | 34 | 32 |
| 2026-05-03 | 44 | 34 | 33 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

Utah Royals FC is priced at 44% to win an upcoming match against Houston Dash, reflecting a moderate advantage over Houston's 33% win probability, with a 23% draw probability completing the match outcome. The market reflects several competing dynamics: Utah's recent form and home-field considerations push the probability upward, while Houston's roster strength and regular-season competitiveness provide counterweight. The match result itself—scheduled for the stated date—will definitively resolve the contract, making pre-match team condition reports, injury updates, and lineup announcements the immediate catalysts that could shift the probability in either direction. Current trading volume is inactive, indicating limited recent conviction in either direction among market participants.

### Key factors

- Utah Royals FC priced with 11-percentage-point lead over Houston Dash, indicating forecaster lean toward home team or relative form advantage
- Draw probability at 23% suggests historical head-to-head scoring patterns and team defensive profiles create material likelihood of tied result
- Zero 24-hour trading volume across all contracts indicates minimal recent information flow or market participant activity reassessing the matchup
- Houston Dash handicap contract (-1.5 spread) priced at 33¢ suggests moderate skepticism about Houston covering a goal deficit
- Spread between Utah win (43¢) and Houston win (33¢) reflects 10-percentage-point differential roughly consistent with typical single-match home advantage in professional soccer

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

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- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash

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