# Will Team Liquid win the Team Liquid vs. Natus Vincere Valorant match

> Closed. Last odds frozen 21 h ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/valorantgame
Updated: 2026-06-07T07:20:11.816Z
Category: sports
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-06-21

## Headline

- Probability: 50% (liquidity-weighted across 4 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (4 contracts)
- 24h volume: $3K

## Bound contracts (4)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FULL SENSE | 53¢ | ±0 | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-full-sense-win-the-fut-esports-vs-full-sense-kalshi-kxvalorantgame-26jun071000futfs-fs |
| Global Esports | 43¢ | +10pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-global-esports-win-the-global-esports-vs-levi-kalshi-kxvalorantgame-26jun071300gelev-ge |
| Leviatán Esports | 56¢ | ±0 | $595 | kalshi | /markets/will-leviatn-esports-win-the-global-esports-vs-lev-kalshi-kxvalorantgame-26jun071300gelev-lev |
| FUT Esports | 46¢ | +1pp | $478 | kalshi | /markets/will-fut-esports-win-the-fut-esports-vs-full-sense-kalshi-kxvalorantgame-26jun071000futfs-fut |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-04 | 41 |
| 2026-06-05 | 49 |
| 2026-06-06 | 51 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-06-05 · FULL SENSE +10pp 43→53¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-05 · Global Esports +10pp 33→43¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-05 · FUT Esports +8pp 35→43¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-05 · Leviatán Esports +4pp 52→56¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/valorantgame
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=valorantgame

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.