# Will JD Vance visit Pakistan before May 4, 2026

> Before May 29, 2026 leads at 23%, runner-up 9% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/vancepakistan
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:05:42.831Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-29

## Headline

- Leader: Before May 29, 2026 at 23%
- Runner-up: Before May 22, 2026 at 9%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $3K

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before May 29, 2026 | 23¢ | +1pp | $977 | kalshi | /markets/will-jd-vance-visit-pakistan-before-may-29-2026-be-kalshi-kxvancepakistan-26apr30-may29 |
| Before May 22, 2026 | 9¢ | −6pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-jd-vance-visit-pakistan-before-may-22-2026-be-kalshi-kxvancepakistan-26apr30-may22 |
| Before May 15, 2026 | 6¢ | −2pp | $946 | kalshi | /markets/will-jd-vance-visit-pakistan-before-may-15-2026-be-kalshi-kxvancepakistan-26apr30-may15 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Before May 29, 2026 | Before May 22, 2026 | Before May 15, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 35 | 29 | 19 |
| 2026-05-02 | 26 | 21 | 16 |
| 2026-05-03 | 21 | 17 | 15 |
| 2026-05-06 | 18 | — | 9 |
| 2026-05-08 | 22 | 11 | — |
| 2026-05-09 | 23 | — | 7 |

_6 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Before May 29, 2026 −9pp 35→26¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Before May 22, 2026 −8pp 29→21¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Before May 22, 2026 −6pp 17→11¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Before May 15, 2026 −6pp 15→9¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Before May 29, 2026 −5pp 26→21¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/vancepakistan
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=vancepakistan

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.