# Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC - More Markets: O/U 3.5

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 41% across 18 contracts — refreshed 8 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/vancouver-whitecaps-fc-vs-colorado-rapids-sc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:05:53.067Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 41% (liquidity-weighted across 18 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 52% / Polymarket 38% — 14pp spread
- 24h volume: $6K

## Bound contracts (18)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Surge | 13¢ | +2pp | $3K | kalshi | /markets/will-vancouver-surge-win-the-los-angeles-thieves-v-kalshi-kxcodgame-26may031500latvan-van |
| Los Angeles Thieves | 85¢ | +3pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-los-angeles-thieves-win-the-los-angeles-thiev-kalshi-kxcodgame-26may031500latvan-lat |
| Los Angeles Thieves | 53¢ | −2pp | $552 | kalshi | /markets/will-los-angeles-thieves-win-map-2-in-the-los-ange-kalshi-kxcodmap-26may031500latvan-2-lat |
| Over 3.5 maps | 56¢ | −23pp | $376 | kalshi | /markets/will-over-35-maps-be-played-in-the-los-angeles-thi-kalshi-kxcodtotalmaps-26may031500latvan-4 |
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) | 3¢ | −6pp | $306 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xeacd4b74856bcd1deffd3d1fa8f946524095752c552907e53b59734bfd8c9c9e |
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5) | 32¢ | −1pp | $206 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-fk-bodglimt-2-polymarket-0x5283a21a15ec521f4337c8e4f501631b4d19582611acba8a1b641466f279dc97 |
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) | 53¢ | ±0 | $204 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-fk-bodglimt-1-polymarket-0x879d113aeafd2b7a7162ce786d626c812b0279d9c74ee8e411c2981c6c0c150c |
| Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 10¢ | −2pp | $86 | polymarket | /markets/mls-cup-winner-2026-vancouver-whitecaps-fc-polymarket-0x25bf49c93f524a86fcb640a93ccabec6cd377efb54f4112c2dbf6febc2845442 |
| O/U 2.5 | 66¢ | +3pp | $51 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x92fa6c618d32593fd64e01106ddf8102f987fe612e1762d2e78e0d9a38f99a3a |
| O/U 2.5 | 39¢ | −2pp | $50 | polymarket | /markets/bucheon-fc-1995-vs-jeju-sk-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x2226aaa7d772c031bca563f44f9b6bda8f4a893e723c20efeb17d0e4f434408f |
| O/U 3.5 | 24¢ | −1pp | $29 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x5d58f60bcef71fbea32cd17317002ed65fef80adb99080b2bf49aa94cf71ee3d |
| O/U 2.5 | 47¢ | −2pp | $25 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xc2ca5022ecefa00d5fdb377dcf1eba34cb1973d86b75b22e40122dd29ca651b6 |
| O/U 1.5 | 67¢ | +2pp | $25 | polymarket | /markets/bucheon-fc-1995-vs-jeju-sk-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x283620f44f63b784999c890284494a4f7f00a4044e2b66cb40b0e031a003566c |
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | ±0 | $25 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x958037183bbbe9c19389945a89a0123d13bd75f0cbc4bf48a9c88a4f8669d5e6 |
| Incheon United FC (-2.5) | 5¢ | +1pp | $11 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x4ce71d662883de795b58a84a72031b1561a1c077297aabf78b6b2e3baf43a7ed |
| O/U 2.5 | 47¢ | ±0 | $10 | polymarket | /markets/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x8c7c03c972df3c78569568b6d77b24c6d573ba28a550321416fef8f87b53b8bb |
| Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5) | 8¢ | −2pp | $10 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-tky-ve-polymarket-0x2ae2ebd1fd8f36dee4140d1e5d50addade8319b01b9486d126f98e2e54d468c8 |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | −1pp | $9 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x2651198ee21da63ab9659c2340246270878006e0d2e196e97b422ff660a2772e |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | 14 |
| 2026-04-18 | 10 |
| 2026-04-26 | 10 |
| 2026-05-03 | 39 |

_21 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-01 · Over 3.5 maps +43pp 10→53¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Over 3.5 maps −23pp 56→33¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Incheon United FC (-2.5) −17pp 35→18¢ · polymarket
- 2026-04-28 · Vancouver Whitecaps FC +12pp 11→23¢ · polymarket
- 2026-04-30 · Vancouver Whitecaps FC −12pp 23→11¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/vancouver-whitecaps-fc-vs-colorado-rapids-sc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=vancouver-whitecaps-fc-vs-colorado-rapids-sc-more-markets

## License

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