# Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 40% across 13 contracts — refreshed 7 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/vancouver-whitecaps-fc-vs-colorado-rapids-sc
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:50:22.287Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 40% (liquidity-weighted across 13 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 45% / Polymarket 24% — 21pp spread
- 24h volume: $6K

## Bound contracts (13)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Surge | 13¢ | +2pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-vancouver-surge-win-the-los-angeles-thieves-v-kalshi-kxcodgame-26may031500latvan-van |
| Los Angeles Thieves | 85¢ | +3pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-los-angeles-thieves-win-the-los-angeles-thiev-kalshi-kxcodgame-26may031500latvan-lat |
| Over 4.5 maps | 18¢ | −17pp | $594 | kalshi | /markets/will-over-45-maps-be-played-in-the-los-angeles-thi-kalshi-kxcodtotalmaps-26may031500latvan-5 |
| Los Angeles Thieves | 54¢ | −2pp | $512 | kalshi | /markets/will-los-angeles-thieves-win-map-2-in-the-los-ange-kalshi-kxcodmap-26may031500latvan-2-lat |
| Over 3.5 maps | 55¢ | −23pp | $312 | kalshi | /markets/will-over-35-maps-be-played-in-the-los-angeles-thi-kalshi-kxcodtotalmaps-26may031500latvan-4 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 10¢ | −2pp | $94 | polymarket | /markets/mls-cup-winner-2026-vancouver-whitecaps-fc-polymarket-0x25bf49c93f524a86fcb640a93ccabec6cd377efb54f4112c2dbf6febc2845442 |
| Los Angeles Thieves | 75¢ | ±0 | $86 | kalshi | /markets/will-los-angeles-thieves-win-map-1-in-the-los-ange-kalshi-kxcodmap-26may031500latvan-1-lat |
| Vancouver Surge | 17¢ | ±0 | $50 | kalshi | /markets/will-vancouver-surge-win-map-1-in-the-los-angeles-kalshi-kxcodmap-26may031500latvan-1-van |
| Vancouver Surge | 38¢ | −6pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-vancouver-surge-win-map-2-in-the-los-angeles-kalshi-kxcodmap-26may031500latvan-2-van |
| Los Angeles Thieves | 75¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-los-angeles-thieves-win-map-3-in-the-los-ange-kalshi-kxcodmap-26may031500latvan-3-lat |
| Colorado Rapids | 27¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-club-will-cristiano-ronaldo-play-for-next-co-polymarket-0xb82769805b5d3825f7471ec19d53a834f2c05e0d0338427e07c1bc6c6b21272a |
| Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-club-will-cristiano-ronaldo-play-for-next-va-polymarket-0xfeb3b61117c5e7ca6cd03cd667c1ca61c8bf6b2610f626ed4d86e90081534a1d |
| Vancouver Surge | 16¢ | −3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-vancouver-surge-win-map-3-in-the-los-angeles-kalshi-kxcodmap-26may031500latvan-3-van |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | 14 |
| 2026-04-18 | 10 |
| 2026-04-26 | 10 |
| 2026-05-03 | 36 |

_22 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-01 · Over 3.5 maps +43pp 10→53¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-28 · Colorado Rapids +40pp 10→50¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Over 3.5 maps −23pp 56→33¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Over 4.5 maps −17pp 20→3¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-28 · Vancouver Whitecaps FC +12pp 11→23¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/vancouver-whitecaps-fc-vs-colorado-rapids-sc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=vancouver-whitecaps-fc-vs-colorado-rapids-sc

## License

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