# Vegalta Sendai vs. Tochigi SC - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 65%, runner-up 52% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/vegalta-sendai-vs-tochigi-sc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T15:35:15.814Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 65%
- Runner-up: O/U 2.5 at 52%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/vegalta-sendai-vs-tochigi-sc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x1d1df793744711ab891ffe155624416370bdf3fd0d4a6966d1978320fd8b7c61 |
| O/U 2.5 | 52¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/vegalta-sendai-vs-tochigi-sc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x3dd375a0ae1b653e00db208644153d1cce3139092ca7c10fd3a02b7ef735cb9a |
| Both Teams to Score | 47¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/vegalta-sendai-vs-tochigi-sc-more-markets-both-tea-polymarket-0x75a53024a4ac793c3b5dded816c587ba66276054e412875e7030468324f69f1f |
| O/U 3.5 | 41¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/vegalta-sendai-vs-tochigi-sc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0xd90426e0b0905c5f3d9b9cdcaa5a010847074f3e9d2913a54dbbb6f29bb28b0d |
| Tochigi SC (-1.5) | 33¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/vegalta-sendai-vs-tochigi-sc-more-markets-tochigi-polymarket-0x97bc0649619d77c5ea2b101aea9e958937c2188fc3465b6035f159133111aeed |
| Vegalta Sendai (-2.5) | 33¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/vegalta-sendai-vs-tochigi-sc-more-markets-vegalta-polymarket-0xe6e3ecda3176db54c10ba4d804988e5b2a3105b6c2d20f4077fd94523c395418 |
| Vegalta Sendai (-1.5) | 32¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/vegalta-sendai-vs-tochigi-sc-more-markets-vegalta-polymarket-0xc5196fc9fd5036518212481bea85da75b7b483110d528be83f2b940287eb0618 |
| Tochigi SC (-2.5) | 29¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/vegalta-sendai-vs-tochigi-sc-more-markets-tochigi-polymarket-0x6384997ab2b392c0d27825c7e82130412a886d53ca86f8095974b31d8fee2a00 |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/vegalta-sendai-vs-tochigi-sc-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0xfec7ef139b3060db1db11b3dc8203327323c9b60d3c560ac1f429de131a000d0 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | O/U 2.5 | Both Teams to Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | — | 51 | 48 |
| 2026-05-03 | 60 | 52 | 48 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Tochigi SC (-1.5) +4pp 33→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Vegalta Sendai (-2.5) +4pp 32→36¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market reflects expectations that Vegalta Sendai will win their match against Tochigi SC, currently priced at 47% likelihood by the leading contract. The probability sits between a coin flip and slight underdog status, suggesting meaningful uncertainty about the outcome. Key drivers include recent form and head-to-head records of both clubs, along with home-field advantage if applicable. The match result will be determined on the scheduled game date, which will provide definitive resolution. Trading volume across related contracts remains minimal ($0 in 24-hour volume), indicating limited market participation and potentially wider spreads between bid-ask prices. The runner-up contract at 36% suggests some traders assign higher probability to alternative outcomes, though the exact nature of competing bets (draw, Tochigi win, or total goals) affects direct interpretation.

### Key factors

- Current leader contract priced at 47% represents substantial uncertainty rather than a strong favorite position
- Related contracts show 61% probability on over/under 1.5 goals, suggesting expectations of a low-scoring match that would compress win probabilities
- Zero 24-hour trading volume across all visible contracts indicates minimal market liquidity and potential staleness of price data
- Runner-up contract at 36% reflects competing probability assessments, with the gap suggesting disagreement on likelihoods across outcome categories
- J-League scheduling and team fixture dates will determine when this market resolves to certainty

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/vegalta-sendai-vs-tochigi-sc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=vegalta-sendai-vs-tochigi-sc-more-markets

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.