# Academia Puerto Cabello vs Trujillanos Winner

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 31% across 9 contracts — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/venfutvegame
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:50:42.238Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-24

## Headline

- Probability: 31% (liquidity-weighted across 9 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $21
- Resolved: Tie

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tachira | 44¢ | +1pp | $16 | kalshi | /markets/tachira-vs-carabobo-winner-tachira-kalshi-kxvenfutvegame-26may09taccfc-tac |
| UCV | 29¢ | +1pp | $6 | kalshi | /markets/ucv-vs-academia-puerto-cabello-winner-ucv-kalshi-kxvenfutvegame-26may09ucvapc-ucv |
| Carabobo | 23¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/tachira-vs-carabobo-winner-carabobo-kalshi-kxvenfutvegame-26may09taccfc-cfc |
| Tie | 28¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/tachira-vs-carabobo-winner-tie-kalshi-kxvenfutvegame-26may09taccfc-tie |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | 38¢ | +4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/ucv-vs-academia-puerto-cabello-winner-academia-pue-kalshi-kxvenfutvegame-26may09ucvapc-apc |
| Tie | 27¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/ucv-vs-academia-puerto-cabello-winner-tie-kalshi-kxvenfutvegame-26may09ucvapc-tie |
| La Guaira | 48¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/la-guaira-vs-portuguesa-winner-la-guaira-kalshi-kxvenfutvegame-26may09dlgpor-dlg |
| Portuguesa | 20¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/la-guaira-vs-portuguesa-winner-portuguesa-kalshi-kxvenfutvegame-26may09dlgpor-por |
| Tie | 26¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/la-guaira-vs-portuguesa-winner-tie-kalshi-kxvenfutvegame-26may09dlgpor-tie |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 3 |
| 2026-05-07 | 29 |
| 2026-05-08 | 45 |
| 2026-05-09 | 32 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · La Guaira +44pp 3→47¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Portuguesa +16pp 2→18¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-09 · Academia Puerto Cabello +4pp 33→37¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/venfutvegame
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=venfutvegame

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.