# Ventforet Kōfu vs. Júbilo Iwata - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 56%, runner-up 52% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T15:35:05.786Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 56%
- Runner-up: O/U 2.5 at 52%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $19

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 56¢ | −2pp | $19 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xc95a40ed69964b6bf80808a6feb48139a5d5b1f748f578c4ed28b0029609390b |
| O/U 2.5 | 52¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x35df374ce3e6fd83656a7376b8980d9a428a9cbd1eab32a2fdff65f2a7b00e4f |
| Both Teams to Score | 50¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-both-tea-polymarket-0x0adfa4918a8bf70be6fdf0d15f8f93676d28a46b5f0a3db45e7c32f95f5b5fdd |
| O/U 3.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0xdbabefa95197903ab01772852d0e379335c873592517f1d342f805a5ae4a231f |
| Júbilo Iwata (-2.5) | 35¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-jbilo-iw-polymarket-0x9dc1f00053d8d17456f4ab9af1182cbbc8a244303bd6df5c8fe29a67c9da3abe |
| Júbilo Iwata (-1.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-jbilo-iw-polymarket-0x077801ccd318481da22b45a47be6e7f377e225734b5d5f4608451ddefd153ead |
| Ventforet Kōfu (-1.5) | 32¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-ventfore-polymarket-0xdb97994ff0f9f078764c0bfdce846d16220e7ad6a403a34e8d0bcae6e19e5f07 |
| Ventforet Kōfu (-2.5) | 32¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-ventfore-polymarket-0xcac6d64b5b91bbe848ae0f625e84a99d9898a73a5fce724a954fac491b71bece |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x6ae87aada8ac044869602743e762f47975c5e8db09aba99b39fa32767636092d |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | O/U 2.5 | Both Teams to Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 64 | 52 | 50 |
| 2026-05-03 | 62 | — | 51 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Júbilo Iwata (-1.5) +5pp 33→38¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market reflects trader estimates of the outcome for a Ventforet Kōfu versus Júbilo Iwata matchup, with the leading contract currently priced at 50 cents, indicating near-parity between the two clubs. The probability sits between the leading estimate and a runner-up position at 32%, reflecting uncertainty about the eventual winner. Key drivers of the pricing include recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage in the J2 League fixture. The match itself will be the single decisive event that resolves all linked contracts. Traders are likely weighing team strength, injury status, and any recent performance trends. The relatively tight clustering around mid-50s pricing suggests experienced participants see this as a competitive encounter without a clear heavy favorite.

### Key factors

- Current leading contract priced at 50 cents indicates traders assign roughly equal probability to Ventforet Kōfu winning versus alternative outcomes
- Runner-up contract at 32 cents shows meaningful probability mass on at least one other outcome, suggesting this is not a two-way race
- J2 League standing and recent win-loss records for both clubs will directly influence final odds as traders reassess before match date
- Head-to-head history and home/away performance patterns are standard factors analysts use to weight competitive balance
- Injury reports or lineup announcements closer to the fixture date could shift probabilities if either team faces significant absences

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets

## License

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